The U.S. presidential elections are arguably the most significant political event globally. Analysts are nervously monitoring the campaign, trying to figure out the possible implications for global risk assets. In this article, Octa aims to investigate how the result...
UK September flash services PMI 52.8 vs 53.5 expected
Services PMI 52.8 vs 53.5 expected and 53.7 prior.Manufacturing PMI 51.5 vs 52.5 expected and 52.5 prior.Composite PMI 52.9 vs 53.5 expected and 53.8 prior.Key Findings:Flash UK PMI Composite Output Index(1) at 52.9 (Aug: 53.8). 2-month low. Flash UK Services PMI...
Euro pressured lower as traders step up ECB rate cut odds for October
EUR/USD hourly chartThe euro area economy is facing stagnation at the end of Q3 and that is rebuffing hopes for an October rate cut by the ECB. Market players only priced in a ~35% probability of that on Wednesday last week. But they have gradually stepped that up in...
USDJPY Technical Analysis – The BoJ backtracks after the Fed’s rate cut
Fundamental OverviewLast Friday, the JPY weakened across the board following the BoJ policy decision as Governor Ueda made a surprisingly dovish turn by saying that “there is some time to make a decision on monetary policy because upside price risks have decreased...
Eurozone September flash services PMI 50.5 vs 52.1 expected
Prior 52.9Manufacturing PMI 44.8 vs 45.6 expectedPrior 45.8Composite PMI 48.9 vs 50.5 expectedPrior 51.0The euro is meeting fresh lows for the day as this just confirms that Eurozone business activity contracted towards the end of Q3. The one-off boost in France in...
SNB total sight deposits w.e. 20 September CHF 465.3 bn vs CHF 466.8 bn prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Traders rebuff ECB rate cut odds for October after poor PMI data
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Germany September flash manufacturing PMI 40.3 vs 42.4 expected
Manufacturing PMI 40.3 vs 42.4 expected and 42.4 prior.Services PMI 50.6 vs 51.0 expected and 51.2 prior.Composite PMI 47.2 vs 48.2 expected and 48.4 prior.Key findings:HCOB Flash Germany Composite PMI Output Index(1) at 47.2 (Aug: 48.4). 7-month low. HCOB Flash...
Market Outlook for the Week of 23rd – 27th September
Monday is a bank holiday in Japan in observance of Autumnal Equinox Day. Later in the day we'll see the release of flash manufacturing and services PMI data for the eurozone, the U.K. and the U.S. On Tuesday, the focus will shift to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s...
France September flash services PMI 48.3 vs 52.5 expected
Prior 55.0Manufacturing PMI 44.0 vs 44.3 expectedPrior 43.9Composite PMI 47.4 vs 50.6 expectedPrior 53.1Ouch. The jump in August was largely expected to be a one-off amid the boost in demand from the Paris Olympics. But it has faded off rather quickly with little to...
European equities lightly changed to kick start the week
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
FX option expiries for 23 September 10am New York cut
There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1150 level. It isn't one that holds much technical significance, but it could put a bit of a floor to price action during the session ahead at least. That with the...
PMIs on the agenda in Europe to start the week
The dollar is trading a little mixed on the day, keeping higher against the yen but lower against the aussie. The former continues with the moves from the end of last week, with a slight bounce in bond yields also helping. 10-year Treasury yields are up another 2.6...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Gold hits a new record high
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Federal Reserve speakers on Monday include Bostic, Goolsbee and Kashlkari
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Australian authorities legal action on pricing strategies that drove up consumer prices
I guess the interest in this for traders of Australian financial markets (not to mention those trashing the share price of the two supermarket chains) is it may end up trimming inflation. That's me thinking out loud, we'll see. Australia's consumer watchdog, the...
Shell to shut production at two oil facilities in Gulf of Mexico
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
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European Central Bank speakers Monday include Elderson and Cipollone
I am not expecting any comments on the economy nor monetary policy from these two. Of course, you never know, so here they are with timings. 0700 GMT / 0300 US Eastern time Opening remarks by ECB board member Frank Elderson at summit on Real estate climate data...
UK Chancellor Reeves will be speaking on Monday at Labour Party conference
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...