How smart investors respond when they didn’t buy early — without chasing or panicking."You don’t need to catch every move. You just need to catch the right ones — at the right time."A young investor in FOMO. We've all been there!Why It’s Normal to Miss Big MovesIt...
Traders increase bets for BoE rate cut at the May meeting after the UK CPI release
Rate cuts by year-endFed: 62 bps (85% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) Following the weak US consumer confidence report, traders increased the easing bets from 59 bps to 62 bps. ECB: 51 bps (78% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 45...
Switzerland UBS March investor sentiment -10.7 vs 3.4 prior
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GBPUSD trades lower following the UK CPI release with eyes on a key support zone
Fundamental OverviewThe USD got a bit of a boost on Monday following the better than expected US PMIs although the gains were not widespread. We’ve also seen some bids in the greenback yesterday following the weak US Consumer Confidence where inflation expectations...
BOJ’s Koeda: We are seeing signs of progress on rising prices alongside wage hikes
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – Focus on the “Liberation Day”
Fundamental OverviewThe USD got a bit of a boost on Monday following the better than expected US PMIs although the gains were not widespread. We’ve also seen some bids in the greenback yesterday following the weak US Consumer Confidence where inflation expectations...
Spain Q4 final GDP +0.8% vs +0.8% q/q prelim
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Sterling eases after cooler UK inflation but outlook remains challenging
Cable is now down to 1.2908, lower by 0.3% on the day, following the softer UK CPI report here. The pair was trading around 1.2940 before the inflation numbers with traders pricing in ~45% odds of a rate cut for May. On the latter, we're seeing traders step up their...
UK February CPI +2.8% vs +3.0% y/y expected
Prior +3.0%Core CPI +3.5% vs +3.6% y/y expectedPrior +3.7%The readings are a surprise to the downside even as services inflation held unchanged at 5.0% in core terms on the month. Instead, goods inflation was the one leading the drop with a fall from 1.0% in January...
ECB’s Panetta says must remain pragmatic and data-driven in setting policy rate
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Gold analysis today with tradeCompass
Live price of Gold Futures (GC1!) at the time of this analysis: $3,026Gold Futures Analysis: Bullish Bias Above $3,024At the time of writing, gold futures are trading at $3,026, and the current gold analysis for today sets a bullish bias above $3,024. That level is...
UK inflation expected to remain sticky in February
Core annual inflation is estimated to ease a little to 3.6%, down from 3.7% in January. But overall, that's still a high figure that won't provide the BOE with much comfort. Meanwhile, headline annual inflation is expected to remain unchanged at 3.0%. As energy...
A steadier mood to start the day with Trump’s tariffs only a week away
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Fed’s Goolsbee: We’re no longer on the golden path as seen in the last two years
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China urged to focus on bolstering domestic demand, especially consumption
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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Bank of Japan Governor Ueda spoke (a lot)
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda spoke:Other: Bank of Japan Governor Ueda spoke at length today. If you want a one-word summary mine would be ‘dovish’. Or at least 'not hawkish' (the two word summary).Ueda spoke broadly, and in a mainly balanced fashion, but for every...
Federal Reserve speakers Wednesday include Kashkari and Musalem
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ICYMI – Goldman Sachs lowered its Global AI Server shipment volume forecast
This is interesting. Goldman Sachs expects market growth for rack-level AI servers to slow due to factors like the effects of the product transition period, ongoing supply and demand uncertainty, and increasing production complexity. As a result, it has revised its...
ECB’s Villeroy speaks on the economy Wednesday, while Cipollone speaks on crypto
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