High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Crude Oil is approaching the key $80 support zone
Crude Oil has been on a steady retreat as the Israel-Iran episode ended without a major escalation. The price is now approaching a key support zone around the $80 level where we can also find a long term trendline adding some extra confluence. This zone will be key as...
US April ADP employment +192K vs +175K expected
Prior was +184K (revised to 208K)Goods producing +47KService providing +145KThe median change in annual pay:Job stayers 5.0% versus 5.1% last monthJob changers 9.3% versus 10.1% last monthHiring was broad-based in April,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP....
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Currencies steady awaiting US data, Fed
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 26 April -2.3% vs -2.7% prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Gold Technical Analysis – Chances of a big correction increase
The Israel retaliation really marked the top for Gold as the geopolitical risk faded and the market caught up with the rise in US real yields. The trend might be reversing and some key technical breaks are adding up to the chances of seeing a big correction to the...
What to look for in the US Session
The European Session is dull today as we have the Labour Day's Holiday. Things will get much more interesting in the US Session as we get some key US economic data and then we finish the day with the FOMC rate decision. Let's break down the upcoming data releases and...
Hawkish Fed or not? That will be the question
AI imageThe opinions are quite divided on what the Fed might communicate later today. Let's take a look at what the analysts are saying (h/t @ MNI - Market News).Barclays- First 25 bps cut only in September or December- "Powell to mention that recent data have not...
What could change the trend in USDJPY?
The Japanese MOF eventually intervened on Monday as the USDJPY exchanged rate crossed the 160.00 handle. The pair fell for 500 pips before bouncing on the 155.00 handle and some key levels as the bulls bought the dip. The problem here is that central bank intervention...
AUD/USD gives back half of the rebound from late April, what’s next?
If sellers wanted to send a message, they could've have made it clearer in trading yesterday. It was a case of a double whammy for the aussie. The Australia retail sales data was poor and when you combine that with poorer risk sentiment and a firmer dollar, it was...
USDCHF Technical Analysis – What do we need to maintain the bullish trend?
The US Q1 inflation data has been consistently surprising to the upside leading to a repricing in interest rates expectations with the market now fully pricing just one rate cut in 2024. On the other hand, the Switzerland inflation readings have been doing the...
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Bitcoin falls below the key 60K zone as the market positions into a hawkish Fed
Bitcoin 4 hourBitcoin fell below the key 60K level as the risk sentiment remains negative as we head into the FOMC rate decision later in the day. Technically, the next support comes around the 52K level where we can find a trendline. The recent hawkish Fedspeak, the...
Bitcoin looks to crack below key support level in drop under $58,000
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chartThe cryptocurrency is facing a tough end to April trading and an even rougher start to May trading. The halving has come and gone and it looks like support from a technical perspective is as well. Bitcoin is now falling below $58,000 after...
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US 10-year yields on the path back to 5%?
US Treasury 10-year yields (%) daily chartThis wasn't supposed to be part of the script. At the start of the year, the idea of 5% yields would've been an improbability. It was all about how many rate cuts the Fed will be doing. At the time, markets were debating...
Understanding the Implications of the FOMC Meeting
The FOMC will issue its post-meeting statement at 18:00 GMT tonight. “High-for-longer” is the expected outcome (but not higher) given more indications that progress on bringing inflation sustainably down to the 2% target has stalled out. With no new...
USD/JPY sits just under 158 as dip buyers settle down for now
USD/JPY daily chartIn European trading yesterday, the pair found itself settling just under the 157 mark here. That before the reaction to the US data helped to nudge the pair higher above the figure level. And that is bringing us to the present. Price action is now...
FOMC Preview – Watch out for these surprises
Federal ReserveToday at 18:00 GMT (14:00 ET) the Federal Reserve will announce its latest monetary policy decision where the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. Let’s break down what’s expected and what to look out for:STATEMENTThe statement...
Markets Continue to Adjust The Fed’s Future Rate Path, Triggering Volatility
Stocks fall as investors remain cautious of a strong indication of a hawkish Pivot from the Federal Reserve. Economists expect the Federal Reserve to indicate a delayed rate adjustment and less rate cuts in 2024. Gold declines 2.12% on Tuesday and the US Dollar...