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The major US stock indices fell sharply after the Fed signaled less easing in 2025. The end of your target for the Fed funds is now 3.9%. It was a 3.4% after the September meeting. The Dow industrial average is now down for 10 consecutive days. It's decline for today...
Markets:Gold down $53 to $2592WTI crude oil flat at $70.10US 10-year yields up 11 bps to 4.49%S&P 500 down 2.4% in the worst day of the yearRussell 2000 down 5%USD leads, AUD lagsI mean, it wasn't that hawkish.Everyone was talking about a hawkish cut from the FOMC...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Tesla has been the big winner of the US election so far, rising 70% from election night. But the spell on the equity market may have cracked today.Shares hit a fresh record at $488.54 shortly after the US equity open today but have since reversed hard and are now down...
There were certainly signs of excess in this market and now bitcoin is signalling worries. Bitcoin hit $108.3K yesterday but has traced out a three-candle reversal now.It's down $4700 today or 4.4% and is now lower on the week.Bitcoin dailyMy question: What happens if...
The major stock indices are moving to new lows as the Fed Chair says the call was a closer call with risk two-sided. That helped to push the USD higher as well.The Dow is down -0.83% while the S&P and the Nasdaq are down over 1% The S&P is currently down...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The GBPUSD moved lower - USD higher - on the Fed decision and in the process move below a swing area between 1.26598 and 1.2670. The 100 hour moving average at 1.26736 was also broken. That area is now topside resistance. Staying below is more bearish. On the...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
AUD/USD has dipped below the 2023 intraday low of 0.6270 after the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, as expected but the dot plot forecast for 2025 rose to 3.9% from 3.4%. Most market watches were expecting 3.6% or...
November 07December 18, 2024Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementFor release at 2:00 p.m. ESTRecent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. Since earlier in the year, labor market conditions have generally eased, and the...
Here is the dot plot from September 2024 meeting:Here is the NEW dot plot from the December 2024 meeting:Below is the table of economic forecasts for GDP, Unemployment, PCE inflation and Core PCE inflation from the December 2024 meeting. What changes for 2025:Summary...
December 18, 2024Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementFor release at 2:00 p.m. ESTRecent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. Since earlier in the year, labor market conditions have generally eased, and the unemployment...
Prior was 4.50-4.75%The market was 97% priced in for a 25 bps cutFed adds a phrase about considering the 'extent and timing' of adjustments to ratesHammack dissents in favor of holding, no other dissentsPricing was for 48.3 bps of cuts in 2025, now at 39 bpsUSD/JPY...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The market is 96% priced for a quarter-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve today, bringing the Fed funds rate down to a range of 4.25-4.50%, what comes next is far less clear.The best way to look at 2025 might be a view of the year as a whole, because that's what...
The EURUSD is moving to a new low on the day and in the process is moving away from the 200 hour MA and the 100 bar MA on the 4 hour chart. Those MAs come in at 1.0514 and 1.0522 respectively. Into the FOMC rate decision and moving above that area is needed to increas...