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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The US PPI came in mixed today. The initial jobless claims came in as expected. The combination initially did not change perceptions that the Fed will likely cut rates by 25 basis points. Later there were a couple posts by WSJ Timiraos. The first talked to the dilemma...
There are venues for betting on the US election but this is seen as a big deal because IB has around 3 million customers. IB will open betting from Monday, September 16.bets on Trump or Harrisalso bets on swing-state Senate racesInfo via Wall Street Journal (gated)...
Analysts at PIMCO have issued a note with what's ahead for the US dollar as the US Federal Reserve begins it rate cut cycle. They highlight that since the 1990s, the dollar has typically weakened, albeit temporarily, following initial rate cuts by the Federal Reserve....
After a sharp declines last week when they NASDAQ index fell by -5.77% and the S&P fell by -4.25%, each of those indices are up for four consecutive days this week. The NASDAQ index is now up 5.27%, while the S&P index as rebounded by 3.46% this week.Looking...
The day might be spent digesting the European Central Bank decision and spitballing the FOMC one.This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here.The times in the left-most column are GMT.The numbers in the right-most column are the 'prior'...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Nick Timiraos from the WSJ has tweeted that economists who map the CPI and PPI to the core PCE, are forecasting a rise of 0.13% to 0.17% for the August PCE. A reading of 0.13% would round to 0.1%, while 0.17% would round up to 0.2%.In either case (0.1% or 0.2%), it...
The Financial Times has published a fascinating article about Gary Stevenson, a former Citibank trader who boldly claims to have been the best trader in the world. The piece, titled "Gary Stevenson claims to have been the best trader in the world. His old colleagues...
The EURUSD is running to a new high for the day up to 1.10597. That has now taken the price of the pair above its 200-hour MA at 1.10563. Traders will be looking for more upside momentum on the break.The price is also moving away from the 100-hour MA AND the broken...
The WSJ Timiraos is out with an analysis of the upcoming Fed rate decision. The title of the article says it all with the author calling the decision a dilemma. That is does the Fed go big or small (or by 25 basis points or 50 basis points). Some of the highlights;Fed...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Underscoring some analysts view that the US economy will not go in to a prolonged recession and may continue to have the soft landing. The Federal Reserve is reporting that US household net worth rose to a record $163.8 trillion in Q2 2024.Stock market values rose by...
ECB sources via Bloomberg reports: Given the downside risk in economic growth in the EU, ECB officials are keeping the door open for a cut at the October meetingReuters is now reporting:Policymakers see an interest rate cut in October as unlikely, unless there's a...
The major European indices are closing higher in the day led by Spain's Ibex which is higher by 1.08% today: German DAX, +0.97%France's CAC +0.52%UK's FTSE 100 +0.57%Spain's Ibex +1.08%Italy's FTSE MIB +0.84%As London/European traders head for the exits, US indices...
The USDCAD is finding buyers against its rising 100 hour moving average currently at 1.35756 (see rising blue line on the chart below). Stay above that moving average will keep the buyers more in control. Also in play is a 200 day moving average at 1.35889.On the...
US national debtThe August US budget deficit data was released early. It was expected later this afternoon. US August 2024 budget deficit $-380 billion versus $-317.3 billion estimateAugust 2023 surplus was $89 billionFiscal 2024 year-to-date deficit $1.897 trillion...
The price of gold has been trading between $2471 and $2531 since August 16. There have been a number of different times the price low has been tested and a number different times the price high has been tested.Today, however, the price made a break for it above the...
Yesterday, the USDCHF moved above its 100 hour moving average, eight 200 hour moving average, and its 100 bar moving average on the four hour chart. All those breaks help the pair move up toward the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the mid August high. That...