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NZDUSD technicalsNZDUSD is rebounding strongly today after a false break to the downside in yesterday’s session. The pair briefly dipped to a new low for 2025—and a fresh low going back to October 2022—but the move failed to find follow-through selling. That failure...
In each of the past three years, the US dollar peaked at 7.37 against the yuan, or just below that. That level has now given way and the pair has touched a fractional record high.Have a look at the monthly chart:USD/CNH monthlyThis could turn into a problem for risk...
Goldman Sachs has pivoted its stance on the US dollar, now expecting the first-quarter weakness to not only persist but intensify throughout the year. As a result, the bank has sharply revised its EUR/USD forecasts higher, signaling a broader structural shift in FX...
AUDUSD rebounds. Looks to the Jan and Feb lowsAfter plunging to new lows this week, AUDUSD has staged a sharp rebound, but the recovery is now testing a key resistance area defined by prior swing levels and retracement targets. Yesterday’s high extended to the January...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Kevin HassettWe are prioritizing Japan and South Korea on tariff talksThis comment from Hasset on Fox News suggests that they will impose the reciprocal tariffs and then start negotiations. I don't think the market will like that.It fits in with what Trump said...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
USDCHF on the hourly chart. 100 hour stalls the rallyAfter trading within a well-defined red-box range (between 0.8758 and 0.8850) through much of March (see chart above), USDCHF sellers took firm control last week, pushing the price sharply lower and breaking...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The stock market has recently witnessed significant movements among key players in the technology and healthcare sectors. This release provides an overview of the latest trading activity and developments for Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd. (TDTH), Tesla, Inc....
USDCAD technicalsYesterday, USDCAD moved higher, testing a cluster of key moving averages, including the 100-day MA and the 100-bar MA on the 4-hour chart. Sellers leaned into those levels, capping the upside and pushing the pair back lower. Those two MA are near...
US 10 year yields hourlyIn my first post of the week, I warned about the potential for Treasury yields to rise:The spot I'm watching is bonds. US 10-year yields fell as low as 2.88% at the weekly open but have since run to 3.98%. I don't think that's a view on the...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The USD is lower vs all the major currency pairs to start the US session. The biggest move is vs the AUD and USD where risk on flow have helped to push those currency pairs up around 1%. The gains came despite tensions with US/China. China vowed to "resolutely take...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Rate cuts by year-endFed: 96 bps (61% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 77 bps (93% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 75 bps (94% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 76 bps (66% probability of rate cut at the...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Something happened to the US Stock market that hasn’t occurred since June of 2022, and before that in March 2020 the federal reserve’s GDP forecast turned negative for the first time in 3 years. Why does that matter? Because that is the model used by the Fed to model...