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One interpretation of the dovish market reaction to CPI in the rates market today is that Fed speakers weren't as hawkish as you would expect after a hot CPI reading. I continue to believe that the reaction function has changed and the Fed and markets do a delicate...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
It's been a long, slow recovery but the S&P 500 is now flat on the day.The recovery comes as the bond market shrugs laughs off the CPI report. US 2 year yields are now down 11 bps on the day and the Fed funds curve is pricing in more cuts than before CPI.Maybe...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The sawtooth up-and-down price action in crude oil continued today with a gain of $0.65 or 0.91%. The price settled at $72.02.The high-priced today reached $73.81. The low price was at $71.17.The earlier rise came as geopolitical worries escalated after Iran seized an...
The bid in the front end is incredible today.Perhaps that's a rejection of worries about high inflation and further bets on aggressive Fed rate cuts (Dec 2024 pricing up to 151 bps).Another theory is that bombs are about to start falling in the Middle East. There is a...
The AUDUSD moved lower with the dollar buying today and in the process, fell below a floor at 0.66767 that defined the low of what has been a narrow trading week (from low to high only about 60 pips). The extension lower saw the price extend to a new low for the week...
The data today was straightforward and hawkish for the US dollar today but the market reaction hasn't played out that way. The initial pop higher in the dollar and slump in equities has faded.In particular, the fixed income market appears to be brushing aside worries....
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
A report says that Rishi Sunak is holding a full cabinet meeting at 7:45 pm this evening, which is just over an hour away.There is speculation that it's about UK and US strikes on Houthis in Yemen.At this point, attacks would be no surprise but whether that's enough...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High Yield 4.229 with a six-auction average of 4.399%.WI level at the time of the auction was at 4.230%Tail: Previous -0.1 basis points versus six-auction average +2.2 basis points.Bid-to-Cover Ratio: 2.37X vs six-auction average at 2.39x.Dealers' Participation:...
The US treasury will auction off $21 billion of 30-year bonds at the top of the hour. The auction completes the coupon auctions for the week. The three-year note auction was met with above-average demand (I gave it a grade of B). The 10 year note auction yesterday was...
The 4-day win streak for the Nasdaq index is on track to be broken today. The tech heavy index is currently down 134.21 points or 0.90% at 14835.47.Nasdaq index is back below its 100 hour moving averageThe move lower has also taken the price back below its 100-hour...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
In an earlier video today on the USDCAD, I spoke to the pair getting above the 1.3398 level where the 50% midpoint was found and also above the high of a swing area up to 1.3414. The buyers were indeed able to do that, and have subsequently run the price up to another...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Trading has been underway for 90 minutes in the Great ETF Race of 2024 and it's already clear who the winner will be.The IBIT ETF from Blackrock has seen 21.65 million shares traded, far more than Fidelities FBTC at 9.01 million, though the dollar-value gap is...
The USD is higher after the CPI data. However, for the USDCHF it extended above the swing high from January 3 at 0.8554, but could not extend above the swing high from January 5 at 0.8576. At the high from January 5, it also corresponded with the 50% of the move down...
One of the most anticipated events of 2024, Finance Magnates Africa Summit (FMAS:24) will be returning for the second year this May 27-29. The professional event will bridge the B2B and B2C space, combining regional and local providers with global brokers, brands, and...