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US Inflation: A Crucial Juncture for Policy and Markets

Central banks are in a holding pattern for now. With rates seemingly having topped out in North America, Europe, and most of Asia, it is widely assumed cuts are the next policy step. But policymakers have been working overtime to contain expectations for imminent...

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US stocks mixed to start the trading week

US stocks mixed to start the trading week

US stocks are mixed to start the trading week. Last week the major indices posted gains for the fifth consecutive week and the 14th of the last 15 trading weeks. Wow. Last week the S&P index closed the week above 5000 for the first time ever (and at record levels...

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US dollar perks up, commodities skid

US dollar perks up, commodities skid

Some US dollar bids have emerged early in North American trading, helped along by an uptick in Treasury yields.I don't see a clear catalyst for the dollar move but it's boosted up USD/JPY to 149.20 from 148.95.USDJPY 10 minsOther dollar moves have been smaller so...

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The bond market stays in focus in trading this week

The bond market stays in focus in trading this week

US Treasury 10-year yields (%) daily chartWith the focus being on big US data this week, Treasuries will continue to stay under the spotlight once again. The rebound in 10-year yields since the non-farm payrolls is now turning the attention back to the January ceiling...

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Market Outlook for the Week of 12th – 16th February

Market Outlook for the Week of 12th – 16th February

The upcoming week will be packed with economic events, but it will start with bank holidays in Japan and China due to the National Foundation Day and the Spring Festival, respectively. On Tuesday, New Zealand will release its inflation expectations quarter-on-quarter...

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EUR/USD still respecting the technical channels for now

EUR/USD still respecting the technical channels for now

EUR/USD daily chartThe low last week tested the December low of 1.0723 and buyers held their ground. Since then, price action has been a bit more muted though. The 100-day moving average (red line) has kept a lid on any upside move while the floor remains at the...

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FX option expiries for 12 February 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 12 February 10am New York cut

There aren't any major expiries to take note of for today. And looking out to the rest of the week, there doesn't seem to be too much else either. But we'll take things one day at a time to see how they play out.As for the start of the week, price action is likely to...

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US inflation the main draw in trading this week

US inflation the main draw in trading this week

All eyes this week will be on the US CPI data due tomorrow. The Fed has already came out to talk the talk, so it is now time for the data to walk the walk. The odds of a March rate cut have basically evaporated after the last Fed meeting. It is now at a measly ~18%,...

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