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Preview: December non-farm payrolls by the numbers

Preview: December non-farm payrolls by the numbers

What's expected:Consensus estimate +180K (range +120 to +290K)Private +155K vs +164K priorNovember +216KUnemployment rate consensus estimate: 3.8% vs 3.7% priorParticipation rate: 62.5% priorPrior underemployment U6 7.1%Avg hourly earnings y/y exp +4.1% y/y vs +4.1%...

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Crude oil settles at $73.82

Crude oil settles at $73.82

Crude oil is settling at $73.82. That is down $-2.03 or -2.68%. The low price today reached the $73.70. The high price extended to $76.95. The big catalyst headline from Al Jezeera that Israel agreed to a cease-fire proposal. After some confusion and denials from...

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What a mess the cable 4-hour chart has turned into

What a mess the cable 4-hour chart has turned into

Here is the four-hour chart of GBP/USD going back to December 12.GBPUSD 4 hourThat's six weeks of trading hell.Today it's now testing yesterday's high in a strong reversal on broad USD selling but this is the kind of chart where you do not want to get involved until...

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Oil drops on Israel-Hamas ceasefire

Oil drops on Israel-Hamas ceasefire

The parameters of an Israel-Gaza ceasefire aren't yet but the oil market isn't waiting for confirmation. WTI has fallen to $74.28 from $76.74 before the headlines. That's wiped out the late-January gains.oil 10 minsThe drop in oil isn't so much about Gaza and Israel;...

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Atlanta Fed GDPNow rises to 4.2%.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow rises to 4.2%.

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q1 2024 growth was released earlier and increased to 4.2% from 3.0% from the January 26 estimate. In their own words:The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2024 is 4.2...

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