High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
UBS says a Fed rate cut is ‘long overdue’, but a 50bp cut might be taken as panic
UBS make the case that a Fed rate cut is anticipated, and has been for some time, given the ongoing decline in inflation pressures in the US. However, say analysts at the bank, a reduction of more than 25 basis points appears unlikely. Although the Fed is behind the...
Is the bond market going to strong arm the Fed into a 50bp cut?
Markets are now pricing an above 50% probability (well above) for a 50bp FOMC rate cut on Wednesday. Consider:1. Is the FOMC going to think that if they don't cut by 50bp it'll trigger huge financial market volatility?2. Or is the FOMC behind it all, drip feeding info...
Will the US retail sales report tip the scale to a 50bp Fed rate cut? The ranges to watch.
UBS are arguing the retail sales data could tip the balance between a 25bp and 50bp rate cut:retail sales and industrial production data ... weakness in these could potentially influence the Fed decision to cut its Fed Funds rate by 50bp instead of 25bpI am not so...
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Goldman Sachs once again on 3 reasons for their US$2700 gold forecast
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Australian weekly Consumer Confidence survey to an 8 week high @ 84.1
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
More info on that Microsoft 10% dividend hike and new US$60bn buy back
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
If the Fed does cut by 50bp it risks triggering growth worries, further yen carry unwind
Morgan Stanley analysts on the balancing act at the Fed:In the very short-term, we think the best case scenario for equities this week is that the Fed can deliver a 50bp rate cut without triggering either growth concerns or any remnants of the yen carry trade...
Scenarios for trading USD around the FOMC meeting
The below is the eFX summary of a note via Nomura on the Fed and US dollarFor bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. For a limited time, get a 7 day free trial, basic for $79 per month and premium at $109 per month. Get it here.--Synopsis: Nomura expects a 25 basis...
Microsoft (MSFT) has announced a new US$60bn share repurchase program
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Blackrock says market pricing for deep Fed rate cuts “overdone”
Via the latest weekly note from BlackRock Investment Institute, says markets overly excited about Fed rate cuts:Markets expect the Fed to cut rates sharply – and we think this pricing is overdone. U.S. inflation has slowed as pandemic disruptions have faded and due to...
Bank of Japan meeting this week – preview (no rate change expected)
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Reminder – Chinese markets are closed again today, Tuesday, September 17, for a holiday
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Three US senators call for a 75bp Federal Reserve rate cut on Wedndesday
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Goldman Sachs forecasts S&P 500 to 6000, Fed rate cuts supporting
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Economic calendar in Asia 17 September 2024 – a light one
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Trade ideas thread – Tuesday, 17 September, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Dow closes at a new record. S&P closes less than 1% from record high
The US major stock indices are closing mixed. The Dow industrial average and closing at a record closing level. The S&P index is closing around 0.6% from a record closing level and is now up 6 consecutive days.The NASDAQ index is closing lower and snapped a 5-day...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Empire Fed rises to the best since 2022
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...