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The ECB meets later this week, what to expect?

The ECB meets later this week, what to expect?

It is not too uncommon to see the ECB not hog the spotlight during policy decision weeks. But when it is accompanied by a change in rates, that is a bit uncommon. This week though will be one of those weeks, as the ECB has already well telegraphed a 25 bps rate cut...

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It’s debate night in the US

It’s debate night in the US

As a reminder, the debate will take place later in the day at 9pm EDT (or 0100 GMT the next day). I shared some thoughts previously in this post here: Just a week to go until the next US presidential debateAs with these things, it often comes down to how things are...

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A short-term bottom for USD/JPY?

A short-term bottom for USD/JPY?

USD/JPY daily chartThe dollar has seen some steadier tones in the last few sessions but USD/JPY endured a bit more of a mix of fortunes. The pair was down on Friday as bond yields fell but rebounded in trading yesterday. The bounce is keeping up somewhat today, with...

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Gold Technical Analysis – We remain stuck in the range

Gold Technical Analysis – We remain stuck in the range

Fundamental OverviewThe markets have been waiting for the US NFP to provide a clear signal for either a 25 or 50 bps cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, but instead we got a mixed report with some better details under the hood. The probabilities for a 50 bps cut...

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European equities open slightly lower to start the day

European equities open slightly lower to start the day

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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UK July ILO unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.1% expected

UK July ILO unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.1% expected

Prior 4.2%Employment change 265k vs 123k expectedPrior 97kAverage weekly earnings +4.0% vs +4.1% 3m/y expectedPrior +4.5%; revised to +4.6%Average weekly earnings (ex bonus) +5.1% vs +5.1% 3m/yexpectedPrior +5.4%August payrolls change -59kPrior 24k; revised to -6kThe...

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Germany August final CPI +1.9% vs +1.9% y/y prelim

Germany August final CPI +1.9% vs +1.9% y/y prelim

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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FX option expiries for 10 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 10 September 10am New York cut

There are just a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.The first one is for EUR/USD at the 1.1000 level. If anything else, it will just act as a slight magnet or at most a floor for price action before rolling off in the session ahead. But given...

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UK labour market data in focus in the session ahead

UK labour market data in focus in the session ahead

After the US jobs report last week, the big picture focus in markets is now on major central bank decisions. In particular, the Fed next week will be the most anticipated one. The odds for a 50 bps rate cut are now at ~29% and down from roughly a coin flip at one...

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