Philip Jefferson, Vice Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System will be speaking at 1645 US Eastern time. These will be closing remarks from the Federal Reserve Division of Research and Statistics Centennial Conference. Earlier Powell gave the...
Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 9 November 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The S&P and Nasdaq extend their winning streaks
The broader S&P and Nasdaq indices extended their winning streaks. The S&P is not up 8 straight days and the Nasdaq is up 9 straight days. The Dow ended its 7-day win streak with a modest decline today. The final numbers are showing:Dow industrial average fell...
The broader stock indices are negative as the clock ticks toward the close but just barely
The broader S&P and NASDAQ index are marginally lower (the S&P is virtually unchanged). The Dow industrial average is down around -0.20% with around 45 minutes left in the trading day.At stake are up streaks of 8 days for the S&P and Dow indices and 9 days...
USDJPY dips below intraday support at 150.74 but not for long
USDJPY moves above 151.00In an earlier post, I spoke to the sellers near the 151.00 level. That level corresponded with the price just prior to the FOMC rate decision last Wednesday. The price trended down reaching a low on Friday at 149.180.The inability to get above...
US crude futures settle at $75.33
The price of WTI crude futures are selling sharply lower. The price closed at $75.33. That is down $2.04 or -2.64%. Since Friday's high at $83.56, the price has fallen -10.29%.Crude oil is below its 200 day moving averageTechnically, the price fell and closed below...
GBPUSD moves up to the 100 hour MA and stalls
The GBPUSD has moved to a new high and in the process, the price has reached the 100-hour MA at 1.23014. It is also close to the 1.2300 natural resistance level.One technical targets are reached there tends to be a stall, and that is what we are seeing as buyers take...
Encouraging signs are emerging for US inflation
US m/m inflation CPIThis week is dismal on the economic data front but next week begins to get interesting because of the November 14 release of the latest US CPI report.It's still early for estimates but the consensus so far is +0.1% m/m on the headline. That's...
BOC minutes: Members were divided on whether rates would need to be hiked again
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
WTI crude oil futures falls below $75 per barrel
The price of WTI crude futures has now breached the $75 level. The low price just reached $74.96. That is the lowest level since July 20. The closing level at the end of the year was at $80.42. The high price for the year reached $94.99 (on September 28). The low...
The US treasury auctions off $40 billion of 10 year notes at a high yield of 4.519%
The U.S. Treasury auctioned off $40 billion of 10-year notes. The key components showed:High Yield: 4.519%. 6-Auction Average 3.999%, Previous 4.61%Tail: 0.8 basis points. 6-Auction Average 0.9 basis points, Previous 1.8 basis pointsBid-to-Cover: 2.45X. 6-Auction...
The US treasury to auction off $40 billion of 10 year notes at the top of the hour
The U.S. Treasury will auction off $40 billion of 10 year notes at the top of the hour. Below are the key components of the auction, along with the 6 month averages of the components. Traders – and the market – will judge the success or failure of the auction versus...
US Dollar Setups: EUR/USD Flat, USD/MXN and USD/CAD Shine in Risk-Off Setting
Most Read: Gold, Silver Price Forecast - XAU/USD & XAG/USD May Get Boost from Macro TrendsThe U.S. dollar, as measured by the DXY index, was a tad firmer on Wednesday, extending its rebound for the third day in a row after last week’s overextended selloff in the...
European traders go home with the EURUSD at session highs
EURUSD back above swing area.As European traders exit for the day, the EURUSD has pushed above a swing area on the 4-hour chart between 1.0674 and 1.0694 and extended up to a new high of 1.07155 (see red numbered circles on the chart above).Drilling to the hourly...
Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate remains unchanged at 2.1% for Q4
The Atlanta Fed is out with its most recent modeled growth forecast for Q4. In their own words:Atlanta Fed GDPNowThe GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2023 is 2.1 percent on November 8, unchanged from...
Major European indices close mostly higher
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
UK 30 year gilt falls to the lowest level since September 22 and moves below 100 day MA
UK Gilt below the 100 day MAThe UK 30-year gilt fell to the lowest level since September 22, and in the process is breaking below its 100-day moving average at 4.713% (see blue line in the chart above). The last time the price traded below its 100-day moving average...
Bank of America’s Monihan: Financial conditions are tightening
Bank of America (BAC) CEO Moynihan's comments:Predicts a soft landing for the US economy.Notes a slowdown in consumer spending.Highlights that financial conditions are tightening.Commercial customers are not borrowing as much.Does not see massive consumer...
The USDJPY retraces the declines from the FOMC rate decision last wk.Is the high in place?
USDJPY falls from 151.00 levelThe US dollar has been the strongest currency over the last three-days rebounding from a recent sharp selloff you, as confidence grows that the Federal Reserve has concluded its cycle of interest rate hikes. That move higher took the...
Cleveland Fed president Mester to retire June 30, 2024
Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester will retire on June 30, 2024 due to fed rules. The Cleveland Fed has announced the start of a search process.Mester - thought to be more of a hawk - became president and CEO of the Cleveland Fed In June 2014, becoming the 11th...