The USDCAD has been stepping higher over the last few weeks, and in the process has been using technical support levels to push to the upside. At 1st it was the 100/200 bar moving averages on the 4-hour chart. In trading this week, the price extends above the early...
FX Intervention Watch: USD/JPY Breaches 150 Ahead of US PCE
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) AnalysisUSD/JPY goads Japanese officials after latest move above 150Japanese government bond yields rise, prompting more buying from the BoJUS PCE data tomorrow and the Bank of Japan meeting concludes on TuesdayThe analysis in this article makes...
Kansas City Fed composite index for October remains at -8. Unchanged from the prior month.
The Kansas City Fed is out with their monthly survey:Composite index for October remains at -8 versus -8 last month. Manufacturing index came in at -8.0 versus -13.0 last monthA summary from the KC Fed:In October, the month-over-month composite index remained...
There is no joy in US stocks. Major indices still under pressure.
There is now joy in US stocks, despite what has been more favorable earnings. The idea of a slowing economy is just not sitting well despite the fact that the economy is showing fairly decent strength (see durable goods orders and GDP but is it a last hoorah?). Also,...
USDCHF breaks higher today but does find willing sellers against target swing area.
The USDCHF moved above it's 200-hour moving average (green line in the chart below) in the Asian session, and then worked its way toward the next target defined by a swing area between 0.8982 and 0.9000 (the 200-day moving averages also in play at 0.9008). Sellers...
US pending home sales up 1.1% versus -1.8% expected
Prior month -7.1%Pending home sales up 1.1% versus -1.8% expectedPending home index rose to 72.6 from 71.8Looking at the different regionsNortheast PHSI decreased by 0.9% to 62.6, marking an 18.2% reduction from August 2022.Midwest index dropped by 7.0% to 71.3, down...
US stocks opening with mixed results. Recover from earlier declines.
The major indices are trading mixed in early US trading. Both the Dow industrial average and S&P index traded above and below the unchanged level. The NASDAQ index remains in the red but well off the premarket low levels as well.A snapshot market 6 minutes after...
US stock future imply a lower open
US stock futures are implying a lower opening after sharp declines yesterday. The NASDAQ index had its 2nd worst trading day of the year with a decline of -2.43% (the worst day of the year was -2.5% on February 21). The features are currently implying:Dow Industrial...
Kickstart your FX trading for October 26 with technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
In this morning video on October 26, 2023, I kickstart the Forex trading day with a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. What are the biases, the risks, the targets for those three major currency pairs?EURUSD: The EURUSD is moving higher despite stronger...
Lagarde Q&A: Now is not the time for foward guidance, it’s time for data dependency
PEPP wasn't discussed at this meetingOur determination to bring inflation to 2% is intactRise in yields is a spillover that we take into account, it helps bring inflation downWhat we are seeing is a very-strong transmission of our monetary policy in the banking system...
Lagarde opening statement: Past hikes are increasingly dampening demand
Rates will make a 'substantial contribution' to curbing inflationThe eurozone economy remains weakTighter conditions are weighing on investment and savings; highlights drag from industrial sectorEconomy is likely to remain weak for the remainder of this yearThere are...
Watch live: ECB press conference
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
BOC’s Macklem: We may not have to raise rates further
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US initial jobless claims 210K vs 208K estimate
Prior week 198KInitial jobs claims 210K vs 208K estimate4 week moving average of initial jobless claims 207.5K vs 206.25K last weekContinuing claims 1.790 Mvs 1.740M estimate. Prior week revised to 1.727M from 1.734M 4 week moving average of continuing claims 1.724M...
September advance goods trade balance -$85.78B vs -$84.64B prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US September durable goods orders 4.7% versus 1.7% expected
Prior +0.2% revised to -0.1%Durable goods orders 4.7% versus 1.7% expectednondefense capital goods orders ex air 0.6% vs +1.1% last month (revised up from 0.9%) Ex Transportation 0.5% versus 0.2% expected. Prior 0.5% (revised from 0.4%)Ex Defense 5.8% versus -0.7%...
US Sept wholesale inventories 0.0% vs -0.1% prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US Q3 advance GDP +4.9% vs +4.3% expected
Final Q2 reading was +2.4% annualizedQ1 was +2.0% annualizedBest quarter since Q4 2021Estimates ranged from 2.5%-6.0%Details:Consumer spending +4.0% vs +0.8% priorConsumer spending on durables %GDP final sales +3.5% vs +4.5% expected (+2.3% prior)GDP deflator 3.5% vs...
ECB leaves key interest rates unchanged in October monetary policy meeting
Prior decisionMain refinancing rate 4.50% vs 4.50% expectedPrior 4.50%Deposit facility rate 4.00% vs 4.00% expectedPrior 4.00%Marginal lending facility 4.75%Prior 4.75%Incoming information has broadly confirmed previous assessment of medium-term inflation...
The USD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest as the NA session begin..
The USD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest as the NA session begins. The major currencies ranking are showing relatively scrunched together. As a result, the rankings can shift around. Looking at the ranges vs the 22 day averages (see table below), the...