The greenback managed to reestablish itself in trading yesterday, with the euro softening after a weak set of PMI data. The run is continuing today as equities are looking troubled while Treasury yields are also slightly higher. 10-year yields are up 2.8 bps to 4.867%...
WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis – Watch what happens around this key support
Crude Oil prices remained supported in the past two weeks as the geopolitical risk in the Middle East stayed high around the Israel-Hamas war and possibility of a larger conflict comprising other Arab countries, especially Iran. We’ve been seeing a clear pattern of...
Japan reportedly eyes one-year income, resident tax cuts from June next year
This just rebuffs other ongoing reports on the matter, with the government said to be considering an income tax cut of ¥40,000 and cash handouts of ¥70,000 to low-income and elderly households. All of this is part of measures by the government to reduce the burden of...
Market Update – October 25 – Stocks in Red; Dollar recovers
Investors cheered the approval of a trillion-yuan sovereign issue as a harbinger of stimulus, while the Chinese government unveiled new support plans that include issuing additional sovereign debt and lifting the budget deficit ratio to finance fresh measures. Hong...
Australian dollar surrenders gains from stronger CPI data earlier
Evidently, not even improved odds of a RBA rate hike can turn the tide in negative sentiment in the aussie currently. AUD/USD was up to a high near 0.6400 in Asia but has turned flat now to 0.6357 and erasing all of the jump after the CPI data earlier today.AUD/USD 5...
GBPJPY Technical Analysis – Key levels in play
UKThe BoE kept interest rates unchanged at the last meeting. The central bank is leaning towards keeping interest rates “higher for longer”, although it kept a door open for further tightening if inflationary pressures were to be more persistent. The latest employment...
Eurozone September M3 money supply -1.2% vs -1.7% y/y expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Germany October Ifo business climate index 86.9 vs 85.9 expected
Prior 85.7; revised to 85.8Current conditions 89.2 vs 88.5 expectedPrior 88.7Expectations 84.7 vs 83.3 expectedPrior 82.9; revised to 83.1Those are decent beats on estimates across the board for the latest Ifo business survey. However, business sentiment is just seen...
Switzerland October Credit Suisse investor sentiment -37.8 vs -27.6 prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
IMF’s Georgieva: Inflation is still high
That requires interest rates to remain high, throwing more cold water on growthInternational cooperation truly a matter of the highest priorityThe costs of fragmentation are very significantThat's the dream for central banks but as we have come to find out, it is much...
Bitcoin consolidates gains after ETF ticker fiasco
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chartIt has been quite the week so far for Bitcoin, after it surged past the $30,000 mark and took more or less one shot to clip the $35,000 mark. Since then, gains have been capped but not after a bit of a fiasco with the ETF ticker on the...
USDJPY Technical Analysis – Waiting for a breakout
USThe Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher, and the Dot Plot showed that the FOMC still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts projected in 2024.Fed Chair...
European equities off to a sluggish start at the open today
Eurostoxx -0.4%Germany DAX -0.1%France CAC 40 -0.5%UK FTSE -0.1%Spain IBEX -0.6%Italy FTSE MIB -0.5%This comes as S&P 500 futures are also marked down by 0.4%, although it is largely tech shares that are weighing on sentiment. Nasdaq futures are down 0.6% but Dow...
Aussie the only notable mover as we get into European morning trade
AUD/USD is up 0.3% on the day to 0.6375 but is off its earlier highs near 0.6400. The aussie is the only notable mover so far, climbing after the stronger Australian CPI data here. That is seeing traders price in higher odds of a RBA rate hike next month, with it...
USDCHF Technical Analysis – The trend has turned bearish
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher, and the Dot Plot showed that the FOMC still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts projected in 2024.Fed Chair...
FX option expiries for 25 October 10am New York cut
There aren't any significant expiries close to the current price action to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will continue to revolve around risk flows and bond market developments. It seems like we are going back to figuring out the known unknowns...
What are the odds of a RBA rate hike next month now?
In case you missed the headlines from earlier, you can check out Eamonn's recap here: RBA rate hike incoming on November 7 - will they hike again in December?The OIS market is now pricing in roughly 63% odds of a 25 bps move next month, following the...
Hong Kong to cut stamp duty on stock trading to 0.10% from 0.13%
That's another way to prop up the market I guess, after pretty much one-way traffic in the Hang Seng (and Chinese stocks) since the start of the year. There was a gap higher today with the open being 2.7% higher than yesterday's close but the index has trimmed gains...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Australia CPI higher, RBA rate hike bets firm, AUD up
Australian CPI jumps, as do RBA rate hike bets and the Australian dollar. Read from the bottom up for the chronology:Other: Q3 inflation data from Australia was the focus going into the session. The data showed stronger than expected CPI growth, the q/q for each of...
RBA rate hike incoming on November 7 – will they hike again in December?
The inflation data earlier today has made a November 7 rate hike very likely from the Reserve Bank of Australia. +25bp in November seems a done deal to me. A pause again seems very unlikely given the forthright comment in the latest RBA minutes:“the Board has a low...