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Goldman Sachs is out with a note saying that high inflation and high survey-based inflation expectations raise the bar for possible rate cuts this year. They add that survey data are muddied by respondents' political leanings, but still can't be ignored. They also...
EURUSD technicalsThe EURUSD has extended to a new session low and is now testing a familiar technical area between 1.07609 and 1.07767 — a swing zone initially carved out in October and November (see red numbered circles on the chart) and retested on March 6 before...
UK 30 year gilt yieldsUK yields initially rose on the details of the budget but there has been a re-think in the market, or a 'buy the fact' reaction to all the angst about the deficit situation. My suspicion is that there are still many generals 'fighting the last...
For all the tariff talk this year, there is a compelling argument that all the weakness in US stock markets is really just Mag7 euphoria fading, in part because of confusion about how AI will play out.I'm a big believer but there will be an ebb and flow and this might...
USDCHF technicalsUSDCHF continues to trade within a well-defined range between 0.8794 and 0.8848, with price action currently consolidating just below the top of that band. Earlier today, the pair found support at the 100-hour moving average (0.8827), helping to...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Why knowing your limits is more powerful than pretending to know everything."The most important thing in evaluating businesses is figuring out where your circle of competence is and staying inside of it." — Warren BuffettCircles of competence in investingWhat Is a...
Industrial production has been a source of strength in economic data so far this year and that's been one of the main data points used as a push-back against slowing consumer and business surveys.Today we get a forward-looking industrial indicator with the February...
The EURUSD is mired in a very narrow trading range awaiting the next shove. The USDJPY moved higher on comments from BOJ Ueda that food inflation was temporary and not a reason to tighten policy. However, the price has come back down in the European session after his...
Why waiting is a superpower — and how to turn inactivity into an investing edge."The trick is, when there’s nothing to do, do nothing." — Warren BuffettPatience is power in investingCash Isn’t Fear — It’s FirepowerBuffett is famous for holding billions in cash. Not...
Headlines:Markets:NZD leads, GBP lags on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures flatUS 10-year yields up 3.6 bps to 4.344%Gold up 0.3% to $3,028.73WTI crude up 0.9% to $69.61Bitcoin up 0.2% to $88,053It was a slower session as markets continue to be...
A deeper look at one of the most quoted — and misunderstood — rules in investing."Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1." — Warren BuffettWarren Buffet's Investing Lesson and What He MeansWhat “Never Lose Money” Actually MeansBuffett isn’t...
The key date for the markets is next Wednesday when the US will finally unveil the tariffs plan. Trump has been calling it "Liberation Day" and that will likely be the same for the markets as uncertainty has been historically high.The expectations for tariffs rates is...
Live price: 34,315Silver Futures Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building Above 34,275At the time of this silver futures analysis, price is trading at 34,315 and pushing directly against the Value Area High (VAH) of the current session. The technical outlook is bullish as...
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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Fundamental OverviewThe USD got a bit of a boost on Monday following the better than expected US PMIs although the gains were not widespread. We’ve also seen some bids in the greenback yesterday following the weak US Consumer Confidence where inflation expectations...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
How to spot real turning points — not just dead-cat bounces."Not every dip is a buying opportunity. Smart traders wait for signs of strength — not just weakness fading."Investing and reversalsWhy Reversals Are Tempting — and DangerousEveryone wants to buy the bottom....