Enthusiasm is quietly building around bitcoin as risk trades improve and interest rates fall. Liquidity is improving and the industry appears to have cleaned up following the fines and Binance and the collapse at FTX.Bitcoin is up $792 to $39,577, which is the highest...
Week Ahead: Highlights include US jobs report; China CPI; RBA, BoC
MON: Rabobank Minutes (Dec); German Trade Balance (Oct), Swiss CPI (Nov), EZ Sen tix (Dec), US Factory Orders (Oct), Japanese CPI (Nov), Australian Final PMIs (Nov).TUE: RBA Policy Announcement; Chinese Caixin Services PMI (Nov), EZ/UK/US Composite/Services Final PMI...
Markets Week Ahead: Gold in Record Zone as Dow Breaks Out; EUR/USD, USD/JPY Eye NFP
Most Read: US Dollar’s Path Linked to US Jobs Report, Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USDVolatility spiked across many assets last week, producing notable breakouts and breakdowns in the process. First off, U.S. Treasury yields plummeted across the board, with the...
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Weekly Market Outlook (04-08 December)
UPCOMING EVENTS: Monday: Switzerland CPI.Tuesday: Tokyo CPI, China Caixin Services PMI, RBA Policy Decision, Eurozone PPI, Canada Services PMI, US ISM Services PMI, US Job Openings.Wednesday: Australia GDP, Eurozone Retail Sales, US ADP, BoC Policy Decision.Thursday:...
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Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU Eyes NFP After Powell
GOLD OUTLOOK & ANALYSISFed Chair Powell ramps up dovish bets.US ISM services PMI and NFP under the spotlight next week.Overbought gold could be heading lower next week.Elevate your trading skills and gain a competitive edge. Get your hands on the Gold Q4 outlook...
US household versus establishment employment surveys
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: No pushback from Powell, gold hits a record
Markets:S&P 500 up 27 points, or 0.6%, to 4603Gold up $35 to $2071WTI crude oil down $1.70 to $74.26US 10-year yields down 13.3 bps to 4.56%AUD leads, EUR lagsWelcome to the new month, same as the old month.The mood was to buy everything and sell oil, same as it...
Stock market closing levels: The Russell 2000 makes a big move
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
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The oil market is fed up with production growth
It's a buy-everything market today, with one big exception.Oil fell sharply today in the past two hours. The catalyst: US oil drilling rigs rose by 5 in the latest Baker Hughes weekly count. OPEC+ now has around 5 million barrels per day of spare capacity and there's...
The market-Fed reaction function has changed
This has gotten out of hand -- The rate cut pricing just won't stop.US 2s are down 15.6 bps to 4.55% and Fed funds futures are pricing in 132 bps of cuts next year. Pricing for the first cut on March 20 is now at 73%.It's tough to square this with a series of Fed...
Gold touches an all-time high at $2075
Gold dailyThis is the moment of truth for gold. I like the setup here, as I always do on December seasonals. In addition, the Fed is going to pivot dovishly and the dollar looks out-of-gas.Gold is now up $35 on the day at $2071. I don't get the sense that gold is...
Atlanta Fed Q4 GDPNow 1.2% vs 1.8% prior
The latest tracker from the Atlanta Fed fits into the market's narrative of falling growth. The problem would be if it falls below 0% but 1.2% is still fine."After this morning’s construction spending release from the US Census Bureau and the Manufacturing ISM Report...
Baker Hughes US oil rig count 505 vs 500 prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Everything is up today. Is sentiment too bubbly?
Risk trades are running wild today. November was one of the best months for equities ever and we've picked right up in December with small caps joining the party and the Russell 2000 up 2.1%. Bonds are bid as well with yields at multi-month lows across the board. In...
Weekly Market Recap (27-01 December)
BoJ Governor Ueda continues to be uncertain about them hitting the 2% target sustainably:Cannot say with conviction that inflation will hit 2% sustainably.Japan economy is recovering moderately.The output gap has narrowed to near zero.Some positive signs seen in wages...
Powell Q&A: Inflation is still well-above target but moving in the right direction
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
European equity close: Continuing where we left off in November
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...