Rates need to stay restrictive to tame pricesPrompt monetary policy response has been effectiveI wouldn't label calling inflation as "transitory" to be a prompt monetary policy response but okay. The tough part for the ECB is if there are second-round effects, they...
EURUSD Technical Analysis – The pair remains in a strong downtrend
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the...
FX option expiries for 3 October 10am New York cut
There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at 1.0495 which sits near the broken barrier of 1.0500. That should help to keep any upside push more limited on the day and allow for sellers to lean on that to keep the downside...
EUR/USD at its lowest levels for the year as the dollar continues to run hot
EUR/USD daily chartTo keep things simple, let's take a look at what are the moving parts that are driving EUR/USD at the moment.First, we have the sentiment between the Fed and ECB and while both central banks are in pause mode, it all comes down to the likelihood of...
AUD/USD stays under pressure as RBA stays on the sidelines
AUD/USD daily chartThe pair is down 0.4% to 0.6340 on the day and testing the lower boundaries set out since August trading just under 0.6360 currently. Price action has been caught in a ping pong range for the most part but with the dollar also running rampant amid...
AUD/USD little changed after the RBA’s as expected unchanged cash rate announcement
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
RBA October 2023 decision – leaves cash rate unchanged – full text of Governor’s Statement
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Reserve Bank of Australia leaves its cash rate unchanged at 4.1%, as widely expected
Headlines via Reuters: Some further tightening of monetary policy may be requiredBoard remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to the targetRecent data are consistent with inflation returning to the target range over the forecast horizonHigher...
Taiwan’s Central Bank says sold USD880mn to intervene in FX market in H1 2023
Taiwan's Central Bank, the Central Bank of the Republic of China, dipping into its USD holdings to fund this. Sold net USD 880mn to intervene in FX market in H1Sold net USD 5.63bln from July 2022 to June 2023Says the operations were aimed at smoothing FX...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting the Reserve Bank of Australia
How much longer can USD/JPY hold under 150? The USD is supported by yields, economyJapan fin min Suzuki verbal yen intervention comments - will take appropriate stepsOil has dropped further in Asia time tradeFirst 3 days of China holiday, China's domestic trips +75.8%...
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How much longer can USD/JPY hold under 150? The USD is supported by yields, economy
Japan's finance minister was once again across the news wires with warnings on intervention.They sound rather hollow. The issue does not appear to be a weak yen, but a strong USD. EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY are not scaling lofty heights, suggesting the USD/JPY gains are USD...
Japan fin min Suzuki verbal yen intervention comments – will take appropriate steps
Japan finance minister Suzuki comments are not shifting USD/JPY much at all: Important for currencies to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentalsWill make appropriate steps on fx moves with high sense of urgencyJapan's price inflation is affected by weak yen...
Oil has dropped further in Asia time trade
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
First 3 days of China holiday, China’s domestic trips +75.8% y/y
China's Ministry of Culture and Tourism with the data point:From September 29 to October 1, the first three days of the eight-day Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays, China's domestic trips totaled 395 million, an increase of 75.8% year-on-year. Domestic...
Italian “supermajor” oil company Eni SPA CEO said deeper OPEC+ production cuts unlikely
Eni SpA CEO Claudio Descalzi was speaking Monday US time in a Bloomberg TV interview. Said that OPEC and its allies are unlikely to deepen their production cutsSpeaking elsewhere he added: “We need a price that allows us to make investment and we need a price that is...
USD/JPY intervention: “150 remains a closely watched figure, not a clear line in the sand”
Mizuho on USD/JPY at 150:Admittedly, the continued JPY weakness is a concern. While 150 remains a closely watched figure, it is not a clear line in the sand. JPY weakness will be restrained as JPY bears will be wary of intervention risks. Simply put, should the US...
Australian data: August building permits , home loans both up m/m
The m/m building permits data is encouraging, but the poor y/y trend takes much of the shine off. Australia job advertisements dipped 0.1% m/m in September. Despite being down that's not too bad a result given the strong growth in August.for the y/y -8.2% Job ads are...
Goldman Sachs baseline forecast is that the Fed, ECB, BoE will hold rates until late 2024
Goldman Sachs note on their economic outlook:Global Views: A Pothole, Not a Ditch We expect a pothole for US GDP growth in Q4—even if a government shutdown is ultimately averted—given factors including the student loan payment restart, the autoworker strike, higher...
RBA policy announcement due Tuesday, 3 October 2023 – preview
The Reserve Bank of Australia statement is due at 2.30pm Sydney time:0330 GMT, 2330 US Eastern timeVia ANZ:We expect another hawkish pause. The post-meeting statement will likely note the labour market is still tight but easing and that inflation remains too high. We...