New York Federal Reserve branch President John Williams was due to speak on Friday but cancelled his appearance citing a family matter. The text of his prepared remarks will be published though.1250 GMT, 0850 US Eastern time: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Interim...
Japan finance minister Suzuki won’t rule out any steps to respond to disorderly FX moves
Verbal intervention attempt from Suzuki. Not too much here to frighten traders too much:Don't have a 'defence line' in dealing with FX moveswon't rule out any steps to respond to disorderly FX movesclosely watching FX moves with a high sense of urgency-By 'defence...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: China began its long holiday today
With yields, the USD, and the oil price dribbling back a little it was a promising day for regional equities and also ‘risk’ FX. AUD and NZD rallied, as did GBP and EUR. USD/CAD traed up to 1.3505 before dropping back to where it began the session around...
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaking Friday
0740 GMT, 0340 US Eastern time: Opening remarks by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde at the joint IEA-ECB-EIB conference on "Ensuring an orderly energy transition: Europe’s competitiveness and financial stability in a period of global energy...
China’s official September PMIs are due over the weekend – expected to improve
ICYMI, China is out on holiday today and all of next week. If you've been waiting on the People's Bank of China CNY reference rate I probably should have mentioned this earlier - none today or next week. We will be getting the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)...
AUD traders – heads up for Australian markets switching to daylight saving this weekend
Daylight savings kicks in for Australia some of Australia on October 1. Its complicated but the point for traders is that the major market centres of Sydney and Melbourne roll clocks forward one hour. Adjust your local times as needed if you are trading Australian...
Australian August Private Sector Credit +0.4% m/m (expected +0.3%)
Data from the Reserve Bank of Australia For the m/m +0.3% was the consensus estimate, total credit growth came in higher at 0.4% m/m. Scanning that screenshot from the RBA website it looks like business credit the culprit. Meanwhile, AUD has ticked up a little on the...
Hardline faction of US GOP plotting another coup – to depose Leader McCarthy next week
Shutdown shenanigans in the US House of Representatives look set to continue with chatter circulating (via Washington Post) Thursday evening (US time) that the radical hardline faction of the riven Republican Party is planning to remove House Speaker McCarthy in...
US core PCE inflation data is due Friday, 29 September – the numbers to watch
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation reading for the month of August will be released on Friday along with other data (the ForexLive economic data calendar is free, access it here.) Higher than expected will fuel expectations that perhaps the Fed's rate hike...
RBA policy meeting next week – on hold expected
Reuters reporting on their poll of expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on Tuesday, October 3 (statement due at 2.30pm Sydney time, which is 0330* GMT and 2330* US Eastern time):All but two of 32 economists in a Sept. 27-28 poll expected the RBA to...
Japan data: August retail sales +7% y/y (+6.6% expected), industrial output beats also
Retail sales +0.1% m/m in Augustexpected +0.4%, prior +2.2%for the y/y +7.0% (expected +6.6%, prior +7.0%)Japan's (preliminary) factory output was flat in August from the previous month, i.e. 0% m/mexpected -0.8%, prior -1.8%For the y/y, -3.8% (expected -4.6%, prior...
More from Fed’s Barkin: Some slow down needed to lower inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin spoke earlier on "The New Job Hierarchy" before the Money Marketeers of New York University:From the Q&A:And more now: Unclear how far Fed will have to take balance sheet wind downSurprised economy has been...
All Tokyo area September CPI data comes in way above the 2% BOJ target rate. Again.
> Central Banks > All Tokyo area September CPI data comes in way above the 2% BOJ target rate. Again. Central Banks <!--> --> <!--> Eamonn Sheridan Thursday, 28/09/2023 | 23:30 GMT-0 28/09/2023 | 23:30 GMT-0 --> <!--> more to...
UK business confidence dropped back to 36 in September vs. 41 in August
UK data from the Lloyds Business Barometer (Sept) 36prior was 41 (and an 18 month high)gauge of pricing expectations higher in Septemberhiring intentions cooled---The Lloyds Bank Business Barometer surveys around 1,200 companies across different sectors of the economy...
Fed’s Barkin: FOMC has time to see data before deciding what’s ahead 4 rates, watching CPI
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin spoke earlier on "The New Job Hierarchy" before the Money Marketeers of New York University:More from Barkin, Q&A now: Fed holding steady at the September FOMC meeting was appropriateFed has time to see data...
ICYMI – ECB big gun Nagel says may be more rate hikes on the way if data indicates a need
Joachim Nagel is president of the Deutsche Bundesbank and thus a key member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank.Comments of his hit the new wires on Thursday:“We have done a lot by implementing 10 hikes so far,” “Maybe more will be on the way if the...
HSBC see further losses for EUR/USD and GBP/USD for the month ahead – like JPY better
Summary of a HSBC note comes via eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. Key Points: 1. USD Upside Potential: • HSBC anticipates that the USD will experience more gains in the coming month. However, they expect these gains to be primarily against the EUR and...
China PMI data is due over the weekend – the country is “suffering a confidence shock”
China's long holiday starts today - markets are closed and there will be no CNY reference rate setting today and all next week. However, there is data due over the weekend:As for other economic indicators, Bank of America have a note out which includes a look at China...
New Zealand consumer confidence up in September, inflation expectations down
ANZ's survey of consumer confidence for September 2023 comes in at 86.4prior 85.4As part of the survey ANZ assesses consumer inflation expectations. Two-year ahead expectation came in at 4.2%prior 4.6%lowest reading since March of 2021---Note that the Reserve Bank of...
Goldman Sachs not concerned that strikes could re accelerate wage growth, boost inflation
From a Goldman Sachs note on Thursday afternoon US time - are unconcerned about unionized workers getting wage hikes, saying these are a laggin indicator:Recent strikes and reports of unions winning or demanding large wage increases have fueled concerns that wage...