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Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 15 November 2023

Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 15 November 2023

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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What’s priced in for the Federal Reserve after CPI

What’s priced in for the Federal Reserve after CPI

The market is acting as if core CPI at 4.0% instead of the 4.1% reading expected is a gamechanger. US 5 year yields are back to where they were in August... back before the Fed started talking about higher yields doing their work for them. US 5 year yields dailyThat...

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No break whatsoever in the US dollar selling

No break whatsoever in the US dollar selling

The moves in financial markets today are incredible, especially when you consider that CPI was only 0.1 percentage points below expectations (and even less unrounded).It speaks to the positioning of market participants and the mountains of cash on the sidelines. Bonds...

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Bitcoin wasn’t invited to the party

Bitcoin wasn’t invited to the party

The waiting game continues for a bitcoin ETF and it appears as though some bulls are losing patience, or taking profits. Bitcoin is down 3.7% today, or $1348 to $35,040 in the second day of selling. There have been several false reports of bitcoin ETFs and an approval...

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US 10 year yield tumbles below 4.5%

US 10 year yield tumbles below 4.5%

US 10 year yield falls below 4.5%The US 10-year yield fell sharply today and is currently down -16.1 basis points at 4.47%. The low yield today reached 4.434%.Looking at the daily chart, the move lower today took the price below the 4.500% level and also a swing level...

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GBPUSD breaks resistance, surges above moving averages

GBPUSD breaks resistance, surges above moving averages

The GBPUSD is now above it 200 day moving averageThe GBPUSD is extended to a new session high at 1.2482. Period the pair is now up 1.69%. That's the largest gain in the pair since November 10, 2022.In the process, the price of the GBPUSD has extended above its 200-day...

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S&P index up 2%. Largest gain since January 6

S&P index up 2%. Largest gain since January 6

S&P index trades to a new high and looks toward swing areaThe major US stock indices remain well elevated. The S&P index is now up over 2% at 4500. That's the highest level since September 14 when the high price extended to 4511.99. That is the next target....

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Cleveland Fed November core CPI +0.29%

Cleveland Fed November core CPI +0.29%

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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