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Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 2 November 2023

Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 2 November 2023

Good morning, afternoon and evening all. The Fed kept rates unchanged with the Fed Chair dancing around future policy expectations. The Fed Funds futures for December are pricing no change in policy. You have to go to July to see some easing expectations (implying...

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Costco total sales for October rise by 3%

Costco total sales for October rise by 3%

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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China agrees to arms control talks with the US

China agrees to arms control talks with the US

According to the Wall Street Journal, China is agreeing to arms control talks with the US.According to the article: The Biden administration is preparing for a discussion with China on nuclear-arms control to address concerns about a destabilizing three-way arms race...

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Gundlach: I believe we’ve started a bond rally here

Gundlach: I believe we’ve started a bond rally here

DoubleLine bond fund manager Jeff Gundlach is on CNBC following the FOMC decision and he called for a rally in bonds. There certainly is one today with yields 7-13 bps lower on the day and that's after trading higher earlier.US 10 year yieldsPowell wasn't hawkish...

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Atlanta Fed Q4 GDPNow +1.2% vs +2.3% previously

Atlanta Fed Q4 GDPNow +1.2% vs +2.3% previously

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker got plenty of attention ahead of last week's GDP report because it was persistently on the high side and that proved to be right.Now, it's downshifting significantly and sees 1.2% growth in Q4.After this morning’s construction spending...

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FOMC Statement for the November 2023 rate decision

FOMC Statement for the November 2023 rate decision

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementFor release at 2:00 p.m. EDTRecent indicators suggest that economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter. Job gains have moderated since earlier in the year but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has...

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Federal Reserve interest rate decision: No change

Federal Reserve interest rate decision: No change

Prior Fed funds rate was 5.25-5.50%Recent indicators suggest that economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter vs prior statement that said economy was 'solid'Repeats that inflation remains elevated.Repeats " the extent of additional policy firming...

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The FOMC decision is coming up next. What to watch for

The FOMC decision is coming up next. What to watch for

The Federal Reserve will almost surely leave rates unchanged in the current range of 5.25-5.50% at the top of the hour. The intrigue will be in the statement and commentary from Chairman Jerome Powell in the press conference.Here is how the previous statement...

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MUFG: Key points on today’s FOMC decision

MUFG: Key points on today’s FOMC decision

Fed Chair PowellMUFG delves deep into the anticipated FOMC decision, suggesting that, while the FOMC will most likely keep the fed funds rate unchanged, market participants should be keenly watching for any deviations in the typical messaging from the Federal...

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