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NZDUSD up and down today but stays below 100/200 hour MAs

NZDUSD up and down today but stays below 100/200 hour MAs

The NZD/USD pair opened with a gap higher but has spent the session oscillating within a narrow range. On the downside, support has held firm near swing levels established on November 14 and 18, as well as during two tests today, between 0.5835 and 0.5839.On the...

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US sells 2-year notes at 4.274% vs 4.292% WI

US sells 2-year notes at 4.274% vs 4.292% WI

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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ECB’s Nagel: increasingly confident over disinflation

ECB’s Nagel: increasingly confident over disinflation

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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US sells $68 billion of 2-year notes at 1 PM

US sells $68 billion of 2-year notes at 1 PM

The US treasury will show $68 billion of 2-year notes at 1 PM ET. The 2-year note auction is the first of three coupon auctions this week. The treasury will auction five and seven-year notes on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively before the Thanksgiving holiday on...

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You can’t keep the US dollar down

You can’t keep the US dollar down

The US dollar is rebounding after a tough start to the week.It comes as the Bessent-bounce unwinds. The bond and stock markets started the day thrilled with the pick of the new Treasury Secretary but stocks have faded with the S&P 500 up 17 points after rising as...

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Can’t keep USD/JPY down even with Treasury yields sinking

Can’t keep USD/JPY down even with Treasury yields sinking

USD/JPY 10 minsTreasury yields at the front end are still down 6 bps to 4.31% but they fell as low as 4.29% and have picked up recently. Some of the moves are caught up in the Israel-Lebanon headlines so it's tough to get a clean read.At the same time, this chart is...

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Dallas Fed manufacturing business index -2.7 vs -3.0 prior

Dallas Fed manufacturing business index -2.7 vs -3.0 prior

Prior was -3.0Production -0.9 vs +14.6 priorNew orders -11.9 vs -3.7 priorCapex +7.8 vs +4.6 priorEmployment +4.9 vs -5.1 priorOutlook +5.8 vs -3.3Comments in the report:Chemical manufacturingGlobal industrial demand for chemicals remains stable but at low levels. Our...

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Bitcoin bulls bail out as the first run at $100K fails

Bitcoin bulls bail out as the first run at $100K fails

I worry about the risk mood at the moment as the megacap tech stocks and bitcoin turn lower. Bitcoin bulls were frothing at the idea of $100K in thinner weekend liquidity but $99,400 was the peak and the sellers have been in charge since. They took another run in Asia...

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The political temperature continues to rise in France

The political temperature continues to rise in France

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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How did Scott Bessent stack up as a fund manager?

How did Scott Bessent stack up as a fund manager?

Key Square performanceWhen people in markets found out that fund manager Scott Bessent was a leading candidate for Treasury Secretary, the natural question to ask was: How good was he?His fund was Key Square Capital and I searched hard for his returns when his name...

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