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Saxony October CPI +4.5% vs +5.4% y/y prior

Saxony October CPI +4.5% vs +5.4% y/y prior

This just reaffirms the much softer annual consumer price readings in Germany on the month. As a whole, this should see the national estimate later come in around 3.7% to 3.9% - which would be lower than the expected reading of 4.0%. But core annual inflation should...

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Market Update – October 30

Stock markets struggled overnight. Mainland China bourses found buyers, but JPN225 and ASX declined, as markets watched developments in the Middle East. Risk sentiment improved during the start of the week as Israel seemed to be moving with more caution than...

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UK September mortgage approvals 43.33k vs 45.00k expected

UK September mortgage approvals 43.33k vs 45.00k expected

Prior 45.35kNet consumer credit £1.4 billion vs £1.4 billion expectedPrior £1.6 billion; revised to £1.7 billionThe net borrowing of mortgage debt by individuals in the UK decreased last month to -£0.9 billion, its lowest since April, as mortgage approvals also fall...

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Equities keep up the optimism to start the week

Equities keep up the optimism to start the week

The relief comes as the Israel-Hamas conflict continues to be centered mostly around Gaza. And while the situation is doleful, it isn't one that is having much economic impact globally - at least for now. Once again, the safety bets ahead of the weekend are being...

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Germany Q3 preliminary GDP -0.1% vs -0.3% q/q expected

Germany Q3 preliminary GDP -0.1% vs -0.3% q/q expected

Prior 0.0%Honestly, anything other than a negative reading would've been a surprise. So, as far as bad news go, this is probably the best version of it as the German economy is only seen marginally contracting in Q3 - at least based on initial estimates. This will...

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Bavaria October CPI +3.7% vs +4.1% y/y prior

Bavaria October CPI +3.7% vs +4.1% y/y prior

The other state readings released at around the same time:Hesse CPI +3.6% vs +4.7% y/y priorBaden Wuerttemberg CPI +4.4% vs +5.1% y/y priorAll the estimates are pointing to softer annual inflation readings in October compared to September. The magnitudes are still up...

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AUD Rallies; Bond Yields Ease; Wall Street Stocks Mixed

AUD Rallies; Bond Yields Ease; Wall Street Stocks Mixed

The Dollar Index (DXY), a popular gauge of the Greenback’s value against a basket of 6 major currencies, ended flat, at 106.58 (106.60). The US currency maintained its gains versus its rivals ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision.Against the...

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What is the USD Trajectory Going Ahead Into 2023 Q4?

What is the USD Trajectory Going Ahead Into 2023 Q4?

In the past month, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) remained largely stable, exhibiting fluctuations without a clear directional trend. During October, the dollar struggled to gain momentum in either direction. Over this period, the dollar strengthened against the...

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ECB Rate Pause Impact on EURUSD

ECB Rate Pause Impact on EURUSD

The EUR/USD exchange rate has remained relatively stable following the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent policy announcement, which closely resembled the statement from September. Notably, there was no dialogue regarding potential changes to the minimum reserve...

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FX option expiries for 30 October 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 30 October 10am New York cut

There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at the 1.0550 mark, which does not offer too much technical significance. But it could be a magnet for price action to center around there before rolling off later in the day...

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Spain October preliminary CPI +3.5% vs +3.5% y/y prior

Spain October preliminary CPI +3.5% vs +3.5% y/y prior

Prior +3.5%HICP +3.5% vs +3.7% y/y expectedPrior +3.3%There's no change to headline annual inflation in Spain from September to October but at least core inflation is seen slowing down further from 5.8% last month to 5.2% this month. That will be a welcome development...

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USD/JPY drops further on the day, signs of exhaustion?

USD/JPY drops further on the day, signs of exhaustion?

USD/JPY hourly chartThe pair has now fallen from 149.65 to 149.30 in the last half-hour or so as the push away from the 150.00 mark continues to take hold. The attempt to keep above the figure mark at the end of last week may be the last real effort from buyers to try...

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