It's surprising to see the loonie lagging today given today's strong employment report. The country added 37.3K jobs compared to 15K expected and the unemployment rate fell to 5.7% compared to 5.9% forecast.If that wasn't enough, oil prices rallied and the US dollar...
NZDUSD moves higher helped by ANZ call for higher rates
The NZDUSD moved higher today, helped by a report from ANZ that they now expect the RBNZ to hike rates not once but two times:THey said:We now expect the RBNZ to hike the OCR 25bp in Feb and April, taking it to 6%.No one piece of data is to blame but a series of...
Nasdaq extends gains to +0.8%
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
USDCHF consolididates the week’s gains near session highs
The USDCHF moved higher this week and in the process was able to extend above the January high at 0.87277. Yesterday the high reached 0.87614 before rotating to the downside into the Asian session open. The low price stalled against the old high from January at...
More on the US CPI revisions
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
S&P index opens just about the 5000 level. Record high level for the S&P index
The S&P index opens the day above the 5000 level, but just barely. The NASDAQ index is leading the way with a gain of 0.33%. The Dow industrial averages trading modestly lower. A snapshot of the market currently shows:Dow industrial average down -13.61 or -0.04%...
Some big round numbers in play today and some warning signs
I don't love the price action I'm seeing in bonds after CPI. I hate to read too much into a few basis points but US 2s are now at the highs of the day, up to 4.49% from as low as 4.43% after the CPI revisions.The data was lower but it's not a game changer. Fed funds...
Kickstart your FX trading with a detailed technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD.
The morning forex kickstart video for February 9, 2024, takes a detailed look at three of the major currency pairs – the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. The USD are moved to lower after the CPI revisions, but hasn't since recovered. Technically, the USD selling took the...
US equity futures rise: S&P 500 set for a clean break of 5000
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US Treasury yields fall on CPI revisions, then rebound
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Weekly Market Recap (05-09 February)
The Chinese January Caixin Services PMI missed expectations:Caixin Services PMI 52.7 vs. 53.0 expected and 52.9 prior.China Caixin Services PMIThe Eurozone December PPI came in line with expectations:PPI M/M -0.8% vs. -0.8% expected and -0.3% prior.PPI Y/Y -10.6% vs....
US benchmark CPI revisions: December CPI revised to +0.2% from +0.3%
Dec CPI ex-food and energy unrevised at +0.3%November +0.2% vs +0.1%October +0.1% from unchangedQ4 core CPI unrevised at a 3.3% annualized increaseCore six-month annualized CPI down to 3.0% from 3.3% (this is a key metric for the Fed)This US dollar is initially lower...
Canada January employment 37.3K versus 15.0K estimate
Canada jobs change trendsPrior month 0.1Kemployment change 37.3K vs 15K est.Unemployment rate 5.7% versus 5.9% expectedPrior unemployment rate 5.8%Full time employment -11.6K vs -23.5K last monthpart-time employment 48.9K vs +23.6 last monthAverage hourly wages...
Coming up next: US CPI revisions and the Canadian jobs report
US CPI yyToday is certainly the most-anticipated benchmark revision of an economic data point I can remember. One reason for that is that Powell himself highlighted its importance to policymakers after a large upward revision to 2022 numbers at this time last year...
FTSE 100 drops, Dow remains bid and Nikkei 225 makes new 34-year high
Major Indices Update:FTSE 100 drops on AstraZeneca disappointmentDow trades close to record highsNikkei 225 scales new 34-year high Recommended by Axel Rudolph Get Your Free Equities Forecast Get My Guide FTSE 100 drops on AstraZeneca disappointmentThe FTSE 100 has...
ECB Publishes Paper on Forward-looking Trackers of Negotiated Wages
According to the paper the new trackers are based on collective wage agreement data from seven countries, including the 5 largest eurozone economies: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria and Greece. Trackers for three more countries – Belgium,...
The Yen’s Downward Trend: Unpacking the Start of 2024
The Japanese yen experienced significant growth at the end of 2023, appearing to mark a long-awaited turning point as it broke away from the previous year's trend. The USD’s drop was easy to explain. However, following the New Year, the situation took a sudden turn....
Next Week’s Key Economic Events
As traders gear up for the week ahead, there's no shortage of important economic events on the horizon that could impact the market. The week will kick off with bank holidays in Japan and China, marking National Foundation Day and the Spring Festival, respectively....
GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Just a retest or we go back into the range?
USDThe Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected while dropping the tightening bias in the statement but adding a slight pushback against a March rate cut.Fed Chair Powell stressed that they want to see more evidence of inflation falling back to target and that a...
Italian Industrial Production m/m 1.1% vs 0.8% expected
The Italian industrial production index measures the output of industrial activities in Italy, including manufacturing, mining, and utilities, but excluding construction. It is a key economic indicator that provides insight into the health and performance of the...