Oil is priced in US dollars, which has been on the rise for weeks, which makes oil's super-strong performance even more impressive.Its on the rise again in Asia following a solid performance on Wednesday:There is no fresh news catalyst spurring on the rise. The...
Trading in shares of troubled Chinese property developer Evergrande suspended in HK
Hong Kong exchange says trading of shares in the firm has been suspended. Comes after reports that its chairman had been placed under police surveillance.Suspended:EvergrandeEvergrande Property ServicesEvergrande New Energy VehicleErrr, Tom, there is noneMoneyMaker FX...
China’s PMIs for September will be released during the long holiday over the weekend
China's begins its 10-day holiday tomorrow. Friday, 29 September is the first day off and the break continues all next week: However, coming up this weekend are the official PMIs for September:Both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing are expected to show...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.3239 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
New Zealand data – September business confidence improves from August
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
BOJ intervention to support the JPY could get a boost from ‘risk off’ sentiment
Comments on wariness over Bank of Japan intervention via Mizuho:It would be unwise to project the BoJ’s restraint on premature tightening as a green light for aggressively shorting the JPY. Intervention risks are clear and presentthe MoF is intent on keeping...
UK car output fell y/y in August, snapping a six-month growth streak
UK car output slipped in August from a year earlier, snapping a six-month growth streak-9.7% y/y in August according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)The lower result is attributed to manufacturers pausing production to prepare for a...
In-house data shows Australian retail sales for August is likely to disappoint – preview
Australian retail sales date for August is due today. Earlier post:Via CBA, citing their proprietary data for their lower-than-consensus estimate:Retail trade rose by 0.5% in July, buoyed by spending around the FIFA Women’s World Cup, and following a 0.7% decline in...
There’s a wide range of estimates for the Australian data due today – surprise incoming?
Australian retail sales data for August is due today at 0130 GMT, which is 8.30pm US Eastern time:While the consensus is +0.3%, the range of estimates is wide at:-0.1% to +1.0% While the screenshot highlights the data as of high importance I'm not sure the release...
Bank of America, higher US rates still to come?
This summary is via the folks at eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. Key Takeaways: 1. US Treasuries as an Attractive Option: BofA regards US Treasuries (USTs) as a growingly enticing alternative to risk assets. The bank believes U.S. interest rates will...
South Korean automakers Hyundai and Kia are recalling 3.3 million vehicles in the US
That's A LOT of cars! Hyundai and Kia are recalling a combined 3.37 million vehicles in the United States due to the risk of engine fires:say that internal brake fluid leaks can cause an electrical short that could lead to a fireThe US National Highway Traffic Safety...
Fed’s Bowman speaking in New Zealand – no comments on economy nor monetary policy
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
White House enumerates 4 headwinds for the US economy
Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, i.e. the White House economic adviser, Jared Bernstein: US economy facing headwinds from:possible shutdown, student debt restart, higher interest rates, UAW strike--US economy expected to keep going in 'a pretty good way'...
North Korean dictator Kim says increasing production of nuclear weapons is an urgent task
North Korean state media reporting on a speech from Kim Jong Un. The report says Kim's speech was given at the Supreme People's Assembly. At the gathering the rubber-stamp parliament has adopted an amendment to the constitution to formulate the country's policy on...
Nomura raises China GDP forecast (yes, raise). BoA sees green shoot in China profit data.
Nomura bumped its forecast for 2023 economic growth in China higher, to 4.8% from previously at 4.6%.Bank of America have dialled back the pessimism on China also. They have been touting improving domestic and investment demand and have now spotted a 'green shoot' in...
Goldman Sachs says the probability of a US government shutdown is now 90%
I posted yesterday on GS on the likelihood of multiple shutdowns ahead:The latest from GS is that they see the first shutdown as imminent:"A shutdown this year has looked likely for several months, and we now think the odds have risen to 90%” the most likely scenario...
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Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 27 Sep: USD index rises to highest level in 10 months
The US dollar index (DXY) is closing at the highest levels in 10 months (end of November 2022). The dollar has risen 5 of the last 6 trading days. The biggest gainer for the USD was versus the AUD with a rise of 0.72%. The EUR (0.63%) and CHF (0.62%) were also solidly...
UBS have slashed their year-end target for EUR/USD to 1.06 (from 1.12)
UBS have upgraded their outlook for the USD, citing:elevated growth rates in the USthe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) signalling higher rates for longer (and subsequent lowered pricing for rate cuts next year)Forecasts:EURUSD 1.06 (previously 1.12)USDCHF 0.92...
US stock indices close mixed in up and down session
The major US indices are closing the session with mixed results in what was an up and down trading day. A snapshot of the closing levels shows:Dow industrial average -68.56 points or -0.20% at 33550.33S&P index rose 0.99 points or +0.02% at 4274.53NASDAQ index...