UK car output slipped in August from a year earlier, snapping a six-month growth streak-9.7% y/y in August according to data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)The lower result is attributed to manufacturers pausing production to prepare for a...
In-house data shows Australian retail sales for August is likely to disappoint – preview
Australian retail sales date for August is due today. Earlier post:Via CBA, citing their proprietary data for their lower-than-consensus estimate:Retail trade rose by 0.5% in July, buoyed by spending around the FIFA Women’s World Cup, and following a 0.7% decline in...
There’s a wide range of estimates for the Australian data due today – surprise incoming?
Australian retail sales data for August is due today at 0130 GMT, which is 8.30pm US Eastern time:While the consensus is +0.3%, the range of estimates is wide at:-0.1% to +1.0% While the screenshot highlights the data as of high importance I'm not sure the release...
Bank of America, higher US rates still to come?
This summary is via the folks at eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. Key Takeaways: 1. US Treasuries as an Attractive Option: BofA regards US Treasuries (USTs) as a growingly enticing alternative to risk assets. The bank believes U.S. interest rates will...
South Korean automakers Hyundai and Kia are recalling 3.3 million vehicles in the US
That's A LOT of cars! Hyundai and Kia are recalling a combined 3.37 million vehicles in the United States due to the risk of engine fires:say that internal brake fluid leaks can cause an electrical short that could lead to a fireThe US National Highway Traffic Safety...
Fed’s Bowman speaking in New Zealand – no comments on economy nor monetary policy
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
White House enumerates 4 headwinds for the US economy
Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, i.e. the White House economic adviser, Jared Bernstein: US economy facing headwinds from:possible shutdown, student debt restart, higher interest rates, UAW strike--US economy expected to keep going in 'a pretty good way'...
North Korean dictator Kim says increasing production of nuclear weapons is an urgent task
North Korean state media reporting on a speech from Kim Jong Un. The report says Kim's speech was given at the Supreme People's Assembly. At the gathering the rubber-stamp parliament has adopted an amendment to the constitution to formulate the country's policy on...
Nomura raises China GDP forecast (yes, raise). BoA sees green shoot in China profit data.
Nomura bumped its forecast for 2023 economic growth in China higher, to 4.8% from previously at 4.6%.Bank of America have dialled back the pessimism on China also. They have been touting improving domestic and investment demand and have now spotted a 'green shoot' in...
Goldman Sachs says the probability of a US government shutdown is now 90%
I posted yesterday on GS on the likelihood of multiple shutdowns ahead:The latest from GS is that they see the first shutdown as imminent:"A shutdown this year has looked likely for several months, and we now think the odds have risen to 90%” the most likely scenario...
[추석 명절 연휴기간.. 긴급상담, 신고, 돌봄!! 여기서 한번에 끝내세요!!]#3.1경제독립tv
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fe6ffWN0Qw4 [추석 명절 연휴기간.. 긴급상담, 신고, 돌봄!! 여기서 한번에 끝내세요!!]#3.1경제독립tv 나에게 힘이되는 "돈되는 복지정보"!! 최신 "재테크 소식"을 가장 빠르고, 정확하게 받고 싶다면 3.1경제독립tv" "좋아요", "구독", "알림설정" 부탁드리겠습니다! 감사합니다 ^_^~...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 27 Sep: USD index rises to highest level in 10 months
The US dollar index (DXY) is closing at the highest levels in 10 months (end of November 2022). The dollar has risen 5 of the last 6 trading days. The biggest gainer for the USD was versus the AUD with a rise of 0.72%. The EUR (0.63%) and CHF (0.62%) were also solidly...
UBS have slashed their year-end target for EUR/USD to 1.06 (from 1.12)
UBS have upgraded their outlook for the USD, citing:elevated growth rates in the USthe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) signalling higher rates for longer (and subsequent lowered pricing for rate cuts next year)Forecasts:EURUSD 1.06 (previously 1.12)USDCHF 0.92...
US stock indices close mixed in up and down session
The major US indices are closing the session with mixed results in what was an up and down trading day. A snapshot of the closing levels shows:Dow industrial average -68.56 points or -0.20% at 33550.33S&P index rose 0.99 points or +0.02% at 4274.53NASDAQ index...
Economic calendar in Asia 28 September 2023
Australian retail sales is listed as high impact (see screenshot below). Dunno 'bout that. The release might shift AUD/USD a few tics if we're lucky. A beat will lend AUD a bid, a miss and the offer should prevail. Fo a few tics at least. This snapshot from the...
Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 28 September 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q3 unchanged at 4.9%
Atlanta Fed GDPNowThe Atlanta Fed GDPNow estiimate for Q3 growth comes in unchanged at 4.9%. In their own words:The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2023 is 4.9 percent on September 27, unchanged from...
Goldman Sachs: Fade USD weakness on potential US government shutdown
DXY dailyGoldman Sachs suggests that investors should consider fading (i.e., going against) any US Dollar (USD) weakness that might arise due to a potential US government shutdown. The firm provides multiple reasons, from both historical and economic perspectives, for...
The Nasdaq leads a rebound in a powerful turn
The Nasdaq has stormed back and is now trading up 0.5% after earlier touching the lowest since June. It's an unexpected turnaround given that Treasury yields have barely budged from the highs.We're dealing in some turbulent waters at the moment as quarter-end flows...
EURUSD hits downside swing area target low and bounces.
Earlier I wrote on the EURUSD as sellers pushed lower:The momentum has continued today with a break into a swing area between 1.04846 and 1.05335. In between sits the natural support at 1.0500.I added:This swing area should attract some dip buyers. If the 1.04846...