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US DOLLAR FORECAST – USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GOLDThe U.S. dollar, as measured by the DXY index, slides despite the advance in Treasury yieldsAll eyes will be on the U.S. employment report on FridayThis article analyzes the near-term outlook for the U.S. dollar, examining...
The USDJPY has been trending higher over the last few days, and in the process has been able to move above the 38.2% retracement of the trend move down from the November high. That level comes in at 144.698. Above that was the December 19 high at 144.938. The...
Alberto G. MusalemThe Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis announced today that Alberto G. Musalem will be its next president and chief executive officer.Most recently, he founded a macro-focused quant firm backed by Paul Tudor Jones, which had about $110 AUM.Musalem has...
St Louis Fed new Pres. Alberto MusalemThe St. was Fed has announced that Alberto Musalem will succeed former Pres. James Bullard. Bullard started 15 years before resigning to become the Dean of the Krannert School of Management at Purdue University. Musalem comes from...
ISIS has claimed responsibility for Kerman attack in Iran, saying it was carried out by two suicide bombers.Islamic State – Khorasan Province is a Sunni group operating primarily in Afghanistan that is deeply opposed to the damage done to Islamic State’s cause by...
Nasdaq index is back above its 200-hour moving averageThe Nasdaq index gapped lower in early trading and in doing so, fell below the 200-hour MA for the first time since November 1. That MA comes in at 14589.39. The current price is now trading at 14628.80 up 37...
Prior was -7114KGasoline +1090K vs -215K expDistillates +1009K vs +588K expRefinery utilization +0.2% vs -0.1% expProduction-100K to 13.2 mbpdImpld mogas demand: 7.95Mbpd Late yesterday, the API reported:Crude -7418KGasoline +6913KDistillates +6686KThe turn of the...
We know of the USDJPYs move higher in early 2024 from earlier posts. That run higher has the USDJPY moving toward my upside target near the 145.00 area. The high price today has reached 144.794 so far. The USDJPYs run to the upside is being mirrored in other JPY pairs...
Some US dollar selling has crept in, particularly against the euro and pound. It comes with a bump in risk assets that's pushed the S&P 500 up 0.2%.The dollar has started the year strongly and it's been helped by a re-think of the amount of Fed cuts that will come...
Prelim was 51.3Prior was 50.8Composite PMI vs 51.0 prelim (50.7 prior) New orders rose at the sharpest rate since JuneService providers recorded a steeper rise in input costs as higher wages and food prices drove inflation but there was a slower uptick in output...
The major US stock indices are trading mixed with the Dow Industrial Average trading higher. The S&P near unchanged and the NASDAQ index down once again. Major indices are tracking for their worst weeks since October. That's not hard given the nine week win streak...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The USDCAD has seen it down and up price action in trade today. The last move was spurred on by better-than-expected US data. ADP came into stronger-than-expected. US jobless claims was lower which is indicative of a solid jobs market. Yields are higher which is...
Automakers will be reporting sales figures throughout the week. Ford is out today, reporting a 7.1% rise in US sales led by crossover SUVs and pickup trucks.Yesterday, GM reported 2.6m unit sales in the US, up 14% in 2023 and in-line with estimates. It's GM's best...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The US dollar is at the highs of the day against the yen, up 124 pips to 144.60. It's the third day of large gains in that pair to start the week and it's backed today by an 8 bps rise in 10-year yields to 3.985%.The latest leg of gains came after lower-than-expected...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
ADP employment remounts to 164KPrior month 101K versus 103K previously reportedThe median change in annual payJob stayers 5.4% versus 5.8% last monthJob changers 8.0% versus 8.3% last monthThe data is stronger going into the more important BLS employment date on...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Headlines:Markets:EUR leads, JPY lags on the dayEuropean equities little changed; S&P 500 futures up 0.1%US 10-year yields up 4.6 bps to 3.953%Gold up 0.2% to $2,045.31WTI crude up 1.1% to $73.52Bitcoin up 0.9% to $43,343It wasn't the most lively of sessions but...