People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
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BOJ minutes – discussed if wage hikes would continue while profits weak for many firms
Nothing in these is a game changer. Headlines via Reuters: Members agreed it was important to check whether wage hikes will continue next year and onward a few members said chance of firms continuing to raise wages next year was high one member said there was strong...
Japanese Finance Minister Suzuki says again he is watching FX with a sense of urgency
Japanese Finance Minister Suzuki is getting an early start with verbal intervention to support the yen today. A Fed official didn't help him out overnight:150 is more a psychological level than anything else - a big round number. The sooner the band-aid is ripped off...
If it wasn’t for the fear of intervention, Fed’s Kashkari would’ve sent USD/JPY above 150
USD/JPY hit an 11-month high above 149.15 on Tuesday. Kashkari added fuel to the monetary policy divergence fire between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan with his comments:If it wasn't for the worry over Bank of Japan intervention USD/JPY would have gone higher...
A PSA: Members of the US Congress still get paid, quite a lot, during government shutdowns
This helps explain why some of these clowns are so unconcerned about shutting down the government and throwing millions of other people out of work.Members of the US Congress get paid during a government shutdown:their pay is enshrined in the Constitutionmost members...
US bank economists expect credit conditions to weaken over the next six months
The American Bankers Association’s latest Credit Conditions Index was released on Tuesday:Headline Credit Index fell 2.8 points in Q4 to 4.5, reflecting a consensus among bank economists that credit market conditions will continue to weaken over the next two...
JP Morgan says rising oil prices could lead to demand destruction – headwind for stocks
JP Morgan analysts on slower inflation - say that firms that benefited from the inflationary spike in the past two years may lose the power to charge higher prices for their goods and services, which is a headwind for their stocks and the equity markets in the...
ANZ expect a more hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand next week
The main point from ANZ's preview of the RBNZ meeting coming up next week:We expect the RBNZ to keep the OCR unchanged at 5.5% at next week’s Monetary Policy Review (MPR), while striking a more hawkish tone. Data since the August Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) has...
USA100: Economic Outlook, High Yields and Interest Rates Weigh on Stock Indices
Concerns over the US economy weighed on stocks on Tuesday [26/09], after new home sales in August fell more than expected to the lowest level in 5 months. New home sales in the US in August fell -8.7% m/m to 675,000, weaker than expectations of 698,000. Meanwhile, the...
There is rising speculation that Japanese Prime Minister Kishida may call a snap election
On Tuesday Japanese Prime Minister Kishida mentioned "tax breaks" in outlining his stimulus package.This has reignited chatter in Japan that he is laying the groundwork for calling a snap election before the end of this year.If so it may well increase pressure on the...
Goldman Sachs have lowered their forecasts for GBP/USD, have a “tactically bearish view”
Goldman Sachs are expecting the Bank of England to remain on hold at coming meetings, through to Q4 2024, saying the BoE has completed its rate hiking cycle. GS say they hold a "tactically bearish view" on the pound, citing weaker growth, high inflation, and lower...
ING says oil prices above $100 / barrel not sustainable. Hit to demand, political pressure
In brief from an ING note on oil and the implications of the high price for central banks. Surging oil prices have become the new concern for central banks, aggravating the current trilemma: how to balance slowing economies, still too-high inflation and the delayed...
JP Morgan CEO Dimon is floating the risk of 7% rates: “worst case is 7% with stagflation”
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon was speaking in an interview with the Times of India. Dimon is in Mumbai attending a JPMorgan investor summit.“I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7%,” “I ask people in business, ‘Are you prepared for something like 7%?’ The worst...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Bonds slump spills over into stocks, dollar firms
Markets:Gold down $15 to $1900US 10-year yields up 0.8 bps to 4.54%WTI crude oil up $0.92 to $90.59S&P 500 down 1.5% -- worst day since MarchUSD leads, CAD lagsOn Monday, US equities shrugged off rising yields but today it was payback time. Stocks slumped at the...
Oil – private survey of inventory shows a build vs. the small draw that was expected
This is from the privately surveyed oil stock data ahead of official government data tomorrow morning out of the US.--Expectations I had seen centred on:Headline crude -0.3mn barrelsDistillates -1.3 mn bblsGasoline -0.1 mn--This data point is from a...
US stocks close sharply lower
The major indices are closing sharply lower led by the S&P index and the NASDAQ index. The Dow Industrial Average had his worst day since March. The S&P and NASDAQ indices are down 5 and last 6 trading days.The closing levels are showing:Dow industrial average...
Economic calendar in Asia Wednesday, 27 September – BOJ minutes, Australian inflation data
After the big stock market(s) slump in US time on Tuesday its unlikely to be quite so dramatic a session here. The inflation data from Australia is the monthly result for August. The monthly data is not the official CPI rate, that's the quarterly data not due until...
Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 27 September 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
NZDUSD moves toward 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart.
NZDUSD moves toward the 200 bar moving averageThe NZDUSD is pushing back toward the lows for the day and in the process it is moving back toward the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 0.5933. Earlier in the European session, the price tested that moving average line...