Japan posted its first current account deficit in two years in January, driven by a weak yen and higher imports of electronics ahead of the Lunar New Year. The deficit reached 257.6 billion yen ($1.75 billion), surpassing market expectations. Imports increased 17.7%,...
There are no Federal Reserve speakers this week – it’s the pre-FOMC ‘blackout’ period
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European Central Bank’s Lagarde and Cipollone could be speaking today
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US state Utah has dropped its plan for a Bitcoin reserve
Utah lawmakers have approved a Bitcoin-related bill, but only after removing a key provision that would have allowed the state treasurer to invest in Bitcoin.The bill, HB230 "Blockchain and Digital Innovation Amendments," now awaits Governor Spencer Cox’s approval. It...
South Korea to consult with the US on cooperation in shipbuilding, energy sectors
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ICYMI – Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs both lowered their US economic growth forecasts
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PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1733 (vs. estimate at 7.2355)
The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate system that allows the value of the yuan to fluctuate within a certain...
The yield on benchmark 10 year Japanese Government Bonds hit 1.535% (yen up too)
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Trump says government shutdown is possible, but he is confident it’ll be averted
Trump spoke to media on Sunday, saying that a government shutdown is a possibility if the House of Representatives fails to pass a temporary funding bill. However, he remains optimistic that the measure will be approved.Trump acknowledged that a shutdown could occur...
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RBNZ acting Governor Hawkesby is speaking soon – on monetary policy
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2355 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
Japan data – January inflation adjusted real wages -1.8% y/y
Wages data from Japan for January 2025Labour Cash Earnings +2.8% y/y, solid nominal growthexpected +3.0%, prior +4.4%Real Cash Earnings (this is the inflation adjusted figure) -1.8% y/y, dragged down by a two-year high CPI ratesexpected –1.6%, prior +0.3%Overtime pay...
Trump says looking at a lot of things with respect to tariffs on Russia
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Bitcoin still seeing selling pressure, under US$81K
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Yen trading higher in the early hours, USD/JPY drops to 147.55 … 147.50 as I post
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There is a prospect that new Canadian Prime Minister Carney to call an election very soon
Mark Carney has been elected the new leader of Canada's Liberal Party and therefore the new Prime Minister:There is a strong possibility that he will call an election, perhaps as soon as Monday. Canada's next federal election is scheduled for October 20, 2025. It can...
Canada’s Liberal Party elect Mark Carney as new leader
Bank of Canada Governor Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is the new Prime Minister of Canada.Carney clocked 86% of the votes! That's a landslide. Beat former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland who came in second place.Canada's next federal election is scheduled...
Here’s a EUR/USD forecast to 1.20 after the German fiscal bazooka lst week
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US Air Force intercepted 2 aircraft in restricted airspace near Mar-A-Lago on Sunday
U.S. Air Force fighter jets intercepted a civilian aircraft that entered restricted airspace over President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Sunday, violating a temporary flight restriction, according to NORAD.This was the second such incident in 48 hours where...