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As the old saying goes: Never underestimate the spending power of the US consumer.The US dollar is at the highs of the day on most fronts after a strong September retail sales report. Headline sales rose 0.7% compared to 0.3% expected and the closely-watched control...
Prior was 0.6% revised to 0.8%Details:Retail sales MoM 0.7% versus 0.3% expectedEx-autos 0.6% versus 0.2% expected. Prior ex-autos 0.6% revised to 0.9%Control group 0.6% versus 0.0% expected.Prior control group 0.1% (revised to 0.2%)Retail sales ex gas and autos 0.6%...
Prior month 4.0%CPI MoM -0.1% versus 0.1% expectedPrior MoM 0.4%Core measures:BOC core YoY 2.8% versus 3.3% last monthBOC core MoM -0.1% versus 0.1% last monthCPI median 3.8% versus 4.1% last month CPI trim 3.7% versus 3.9% last monthCPI common 4.4% versus 4.8% last...
A pair of top-tier economic indicators are coming up at the bottom of the hour with the US releasing retail sales and Canada releasing CPI. Both reports are for September.For the US, the data on retail sales will be one of the first places where weakness shows up if a...
The AUD is the strongest of the major currencies, while the NZD is the weakest. The USD is mixed with the GBP, CAD and NZD the strongest and the EUR and AUD are the weakest. The JPY and CHF are unchangedThere is uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's next...
The fears around a larger conflict in the Middle East eased on Monday as Israel didn’t proceed with a ground offensive in Gaza over the weekend and there are ongoing talks for a more diplomatic resolution. The risk is still there, but the market is looking through it...
Headlines:Markets:AUD leads, NZD lags on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.3%US 10-year yields up 5.5 bps to 4.765%Gold up 0.3% to $1,924.37WTI crude up 0.1% to $86.79Bitcoin up 0.2% to $28,470With US president Biden only arriving in Israel on...
S&P 500 futuresAs yields are holding higher so far on the day, we are seeing equities slip a little further as the focus turns towards US trading later. S&P 500 futures are down 0.3% while European indices are down by 0.2% to 0.4% mostly at the moment. The...
The Israel-Hamas war dominated developments across key commodity markets last week. Gold benefited from safe haven flows, and oil prices spiked. Risk appetite stabilized somewhat today, as investors watch efforts to contain the conflict. USOIL surged nearly 6% on...
USD/JPY 5 mins chartFrom my broker, USD/JPY caught a whipsaw lower to 148.72 before reversing that move to steady around 149.40 levels again now. The reaction is to the headlines here. It's a bit of a sensitive one but it just confirms what we already should know...
The report says that the price outlook for the fiscal year 2023 is being considered to be revised higher to closer to 3%. Meanwhile, the Japanese central bank is said to discuss raising the price outlook for the fiscal year 2024 to 2% or above but to keep the outlook...
Prior -79.4Outlook -1.1 vs -9.3 expectedPrior -11.4The good news here is that the economic sentiment i.e. outlook reading is seeing a significant improvement, beating estimates and that points to some further optimism in the months ahead. That being said, the current...
It is being reported that Beijing has told state-owned banks to roll over existing local government debt with longer-term loans at lower interest rates. Adding that they will set up an emergency liquidity tool with the banks and that the interest rates on the...
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher, and the Dot Plot showed that the FOMC still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts projected in 2024.Fed Chair...
The report says that Japan's trade union confederation, otherwise known as RENGO, is planning to ask for more than a 5% wage hike in the coming 2024 spring wage negotiations. Adding that they also plan to ask for more than a 3% base wage hike on top of that.That's a...
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The mood among major currencies today is more mixed but overall, the dollar is still in a good spot all things considered. EUR/USD is little changed at 1.0550 currently but is hovering closer to lows near 1.0500 while topside is being managed by the 23.6 Fib...
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher, and the Dot Plot showed that the FOMC still expects another rate hike by the end of the year with less rate cuts projected in 2024.Fed Chair...
There are a couple to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at 1.0500, which will add to the defensive layer at the figure level and likely help to keep price action above that before rolling off later in the day.Then, there is...
> UK September payrolls change -11k vs 0k prior Latest data released by ONS - 17 October 2023 <!--> --> <!--> Prior 0k; revised to -8kAugust average weekly earnings % vs +8.3% 3m/y expectedPrior +8.5%August average weekly earnings % vs +7.8% 3m/y...