In the morning kickstart video, I outline the GBPUSD swing area floor between 1.2589 and 1.2602. That floor has now been broken. The low price has reached 1.25767.GBPUSD falls below the floor area.For traders looking for more downside, risk is now a move back above...
Factors Keeping Oil Prices Below $100 per Barrel
Piracy thrives in the Red Sea, and the International Energy Agency predicts an oil deficit on the world market soon, but prices continue to fall.In fact, there is chaos in geopolitics, not only in the Middle East and Eurasia but also in Latin America, pushing the gold...
High-ranking House Republicans set to bow out
What's next for the two former House majority speakers?Today, Rep. Patrick McHenry -- who briefly served as speaker pro tempore during the House standoff -- announced that he will retire at the end of this term in January 2025.“I will be retiring from Congress at the...
The market is pricing in cuts too aggressively but it doesn’t really matter
The market is now pricing in 127 basis points in rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2023, with a 12% chance of cuts in January and rising to 71% at the March 20 meeting.That's too aggressive based on the data and what the Fed has said already. It's not impossible...
Bitcoin skyrockets above $43,000, as the renewed rally continues
Bitcoin is extending above its 50% midpointThe price of bitcoin is continuing its run to the upside with an extension above the $43,000 level. The high price today has reached $44,011. The current price is trading at $43,353.Technically the price has extended above -...
US Dollar Setups: USD/JPY Gains as GBP/USD Trends Lower, AUD/USD Hammered
US DOLLAR FORECAST – USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USDThe U.S. dollar extends its advance despite the pullback in U.S. Treasury yieldsAttention will be on the November U.S. employment report later this weekThis article focuses on the technical outlook for USD/JPY, GBP/USD and...
New US visa restrictions target West Bank violence and instability
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
There will be no negotiations or exchange of detainees until aggression against Gaza stops
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EURUSD falls towards key swing area as London/European traders look toward the exits.
As London/European traders look for the exit, the EURUSD is trading to a new session low. In the process, the price is also approaching a key swing area between 1.0765 and 1.0783 (see red numbered circles on the chart below). Within that area is the 50% midpoint of...
USDJPY roller coaster ride: Ups and downs persist as traders await next shove.
The USDJPY moved to a new session low after the weaker-than-expected JOLTs job opening data. That took the price below a swing area at 146.655. That should've opened the door for a retest of the low price from yesterday, but selling dried up and those sellers were...
Credit Agricole’s Top 2024 FX trades: Sell EUR/USD rallies above 1.10, targeting 1.05
EURUSD dailyCredit Agricole recommends selling EUR/USD rallies above 1.10, anticipating a decline towards 1.05 in the coming months. This recommendation is based on a mix of currency drivers, including central bank policies and macroeconomic risks, that are expected...
German DAX index trades to a new all-time record high
German DAX trades at a new all-time highThe German Dax is trading up 131.25 points or 0.80% at 16536. That takes the index to its highest level on record, extending above the July 31 high of 16528.97. The high priest today has just reached 16540.44.The index is now up...
German DAX index rallies to an all-time high
The heavily-shorted German DAX has squeezed out the shorts. The index rose another 0.7% today and has just hit an all-time high at 16,531.It's up an incredible 12.5% since October 26 in a one-way move.DAX dailyThe rally breaks the previous record high set in...
Lower yields offer a boost to US equities
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
USDCAD steps below key levels, bearish momentum builds intraday.
The USDCAD moved higher in early trading today, but sellers have started to take more control. technically, the price moved up to test the broken 38.2% retracement of the move up from the July low. That level came in at 1.35902. The high price 1.3591. At the high, the...
ECB’s Vujcic: My baseline is for no more rate hikes and data dependent decisions
EURUSD 10 minsThe euro is down 14 pipis today to 1.0832 but bond yields throughout Europe are much lower today.The main comments today came from the ECB's Schnabel who said that rate hikes are 'quite unlikely' after a 'remarkable' fall in inflation."When the facts...
US dollar dips after surprise fall in US job openings
US job openings fell to the lowest since March 2021 as the post-pandemic hiring boom fades. That decline will make the Fed more comfortable in ending the rate-hiking cycle and switching to rate cuts in 2024.Job openings in the JOLTS report fell to 8.733 million from...
JOLTs October job openings 8.733M vs 9.300M estimate. Lowest level since March 2021.
Prior month 9.553M (revised to 9.350M)Hires 3.7% vs 3.7% prior. Separations rate 3.6% vs 3.6% prior.Quits 2.3% vs. 2.3% prior. It was the 4th consecutive month at the same rateThe low job openings for 2023 was at 8.92M in July. This is the weakest since March...
US November ISM services 52.7 vs 52.0 expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US S&P Global November global final services PMI 50.8 vs 50.8 prelim
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...