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ECB consumer survey shows rising inflation expectations

ECB consumer survey shows rising inflation expectations

The median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months remain unchanged at 3.4%, similar to June, though breaking the declining trend since spring. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for the three years ahead rose to 2.4% from 2.3% previously and is still...

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Eurozone August final services PMI 47.9 vs 48.3 prelim

Eurozone August final services PMI 47.9 vs 48.3 prelim

Prior 50.9Composite PMI 46.7 vs 47.0 prelimPrior 48.6The headline reading is a 30-month low while the composite reading is a 33-month low. That puts into perspective the kind of downturn and economic contraction we're seeing in Europe in Q3. Germany and France are the...

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Germany August final services PMI 47.3 vs 47.3 prelim

Germany August final services PMI 47.3 vs 47.3 prelim

Prior 52.3Composite PMI 44.6 vs 44.7 prelimPrior 48.5Weaker demand conditions continue to weigh on overall business activity as the final estimates reaffirm a sustained downturn in the German economy in Q3. Price pressures in the services sector continue to stay...

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France August final services PMI 46.0 vs 46.7 prelim

France August final services PMI 46.0 vs 46.7 prelim

Prior 47.1Composite PMI 46.0 vs 46.6 prelimPrior 46.6The downward revisions just paint a worse picture of France's economic contraction in Q3, with the services sector seeing its sharpest fall in two-and-a-half years. New orders are seen falling for a fourth month...

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Italy August services PMI 49.8 vs 50.5 expected

Italy August services PMI 49.8 vs 50.5 expected

Prior 51.5Composite PMI 48.2Prior 48.9With both Spain and Italy showing contractions in economic activity as well in August, it really deepens the downturn that the euro area economy is now facing towards the end of Q3. Germany is still the sickest person in the room...

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Dollar in charge as higher yields come back into focus

Dollar in charge as higher yields come back into focus

There was a bit of a breather yesterday with US markets closed but with the return of Treasuries today, or more specifically the selling of bonds, that is helping to prop the dollar higher across the board. The greenback is leading the way in the major currencies...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The data is key now

USDJPY Technical Analysis – The data is key now

US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed...

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Spain August services PMI 49.3 vs 51.5 expected

Spain August services PMI 49.3 vs 51.5 expected

Prior 52.8That's a miss and it is the first time since last October that Spain's services sector enters contraction territory. There were fresh falls in new business and overall activity while employment growth was the softest since January. HCOB notes that:“Summer is...

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European equities off to a softer start at the open today

European equities off to a softer start at the open today

Eurostoxx -0.5%Germany DAX -0.5%France CAC 40 -0.7%UK FTSE -0.6%Spain IBEX -0.3%Italy FTSE MIB -0.4%The bond market, or more specifically Treasuries, is back in play today and 10-year yields in the US are up 4.5 bps to 4.218% currently. That is keeping the dollar more...

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FX option expiries for 5 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 5 September 10am New York cut

There aren't any significant expiries to take note of on the day. As such, trading sentiment will rely mostly on broader market developments - in particular, the bond market I would say. US traders will return to the fray today and we are already getting a teaser with...

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EURUSD Technical Analysis – Watch this key trendline

EURUSD Technical Analysis – Watch this key trendline

US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed...

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USD/JPY pulls higher as the bond market returns to play

USD/JPY pulls higher as the bond market returns to play

USD/JPY daily chartTreasuries are back open for business and with yields pushing higher again, that is underpinning the dollar ahead of European trading. In particular, USD/JPY is now up 0.3% to 146.87 as it looks to retest the highs for the year. That comes after...

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Final PMI readings for Europe coming up later today

Final PMI readings for Europe coming up later today

The main thing today is that US traders are back, or more specifically that the bond market is back open for trading. Treasury yields are looking to nudge higher again and that will be one to watch after the sudden turnaround on Friday. In case you missed it: US...

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