We do expect bumpiness in easing of energy, food inflationEasing in services inflation helps limit narrative that tourism is keeping services inflation highThere's still much to be desired for the ECB in terms of inflation developments surely. But it is all about what...
Final PMI readings for Europe coming up later today
The main thing today is that US traders are back, or more specifically that the bond market is back open for trading. Treasury yields are looking to nudge higher again and that will be one to watch after the sudden turnaround on Friday. In case you missed it: US...
Minimal change to the RBA outlook after today’s decision
Here's a look at the OIS curve before and after today's meeting:That pretty much says it all in terms of how impactful the policy decision and statement was. Essentially, traders are still not pricing in any more rate hikes for the RBA from hereon.The central bank...
AUD/USD stays pinned lower today as RBA sticks to the script
And that continues to see AUD/USD hold lower today by 0.5% at 0.6425, being pressured from China worries. In particular, the poor PMI reading here is one to blame as that is also triggering a bout of yuan weakness and selling in Chinese equities.AUD/USD daily...
The full statement of the September RBA monetary policy meeting decision
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.10 per cent and the interest rate paid on Exchange Settlement balances unchanged at 4.00 per cent.Interest rates have been increased by 4 percentage points since May last year. The...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: China sentiment slump: Country Garden worry, poor PMI
China's Country Garden has paid coupons of USD22.5mn - avoids defaultEuropean Central Bank President Lagarde speaking again today, Schnabel, de Guindos alsoChina's Country Garden seeking to extend payments of another 7 onshore bonds by 3 yearsAUD, NZD, CNH all down:...
China’s Country Garden has paid coupons of USD22.5mn – avoids default
Country Garden was due to make the payments today, otherwise the 'grace peiod' would have expired leaving the firm open to default demands from creditors. News crossing now that the payments have been made. We can breathe now for a few days before the next lot are...
European Central Bank President Lagarde speaking again today, Schnabel, de Guindos also
Lagarde spoke on Monday:As did offsider Nagel:Speakers from the ECB on Tuesday, 5 September 2023 include:0700 GMT, 0300 US Eastern time: Chairing the panel "Central bank immunities and international sanctions" by ECB President Christine Lagarde at the ECB Legal...
China’s Country Garden seeking to extend payments of another 7 onshore bonds by 3 years
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
AUD, NZD, CNH all down: China PMI disappoints, worries re Country Garden potential default
CAD lower also. EUR and GBP dribbling along lonwer for the ride too. China's PMI was ugly:And Country Garden has a coupon payment due today, a USD one, that it missed in early August - the 'grace period' expires in the hours ahead.:In addition to those currencies...
Chinese developer Country Garden has only hours to meet US$22.5mn payments
Chinese developer Country Garden Holdings missed coupon payments in early August. The 'grace period' for the first of these finished up today and tomorrow (September 5 and 6)builder has about U$187 billion of total liabilities it has a combined US$22.5 million in...
Goldman Sachs have revised the probability of a US recession even lower, to 15% (from 20)
Goldman Sachs have been consistently revising their probability of a US recession in 12 months lower and lower. They have been consistently under consensus too . Good for them. Have it at 15% now, from most recent forecast at 20%.Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan...
Chinese Caixin Services PMI for August 51.8 (expected 53.6, prior 54.1)
Composite 51.7prior 51.9That's a disappointing services PMI. The yuan has been hit on it:From the Caixin report:Latest PMI data signalled a softer expansion in service sector output in China during August. Business activity increased at the slowest pace in eight...
Think tank: UK should boost capital markets with pensions. (What could possibly go wrong?)
UK think-tank New Financial says higher minimum contributions to pension schemes and regulatory reforms to bolster London's capital market and boost the flow of money from pensions into investments is a good start, but more is needed to avoid pensioners having too...
Australian data, Q2 Current Account +7.7bn AUD (vs. expected +8.1bn AUD)
Q2 Current Account +7.7bn AUD expected +8.1bn AUD, prior +12.3bn AUDAustralia's net exports will add 0.8% to Q2 GDP (this data point is due Wednesday at 11.30 am Sydney time)expected +0.3%---Background info on the "current account"refers to a component of a country's...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1783 (vs. estimate at 7.2703)
The People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
New Zealand data – ANZ Commodity Price Index for August -2.9% m/m (prior -2.6%)
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US First Lady Jill Biden tested positive for COVID-19, experiencing mild symptoms
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
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More on China setting up a new body to support the private sector
I posted on this on Monday, news out of China’s National Development and Reform CommissionA little more on this now:NDRC said it would set up a bureau to coordinate policies across different government bodies and help development of the private economynew bureau will...