<!--> --> <!--> --> Services: 54.3prior 53.8Composite: 52.6prior 52.2Flash reading here:Last week we had the final manufacturing number:Earlier from Japan, the biggest y/y drop in household spending since February of 2021: ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE...
Brent oil – US Treasury official says price cap on Russian oil continues to work
Bloomberg convey remarks from a senior US Treasury official on the price cap imposed on Russian oil exports by the US and its allies:the US is judging the policy’s performance by whether it’s allowing buyers across the world to negotiate bigger discounts for Russian...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2703 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
Australian final PMIs for August: Services 47.8 (prior 47.9) Composite 48.0 (prior 48.2)
Judo Bank / S&P Global Australian PMIs for August, the final results:Services 47.8 vs. prior 47.9 Composite 48.0 vs. prior 48.2The Manufacturing was published last week:The preliminaries are here:All three firmly in contraction does not auger well. On Wednesday...
Australia data – ANZ Roy Morgan weekly consumer confidence 78.7 (prior 78.1)
Australian Weekly ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence survey.ANZ comment:July monthly CPI, which showed falling annual inflation, likely supported the lift, as did the start of what we think will be an extended pause from the RBA.78.7 is an 18-week high. And still...
Japan data – July Household spending -2.7% m/m (expected +0.7%)
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Australian union plans full 2 week strike at Chevron’s LNG facilities if demands not met
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
UK data for August showed BRC sales higher than July but Barclay consumer spending lower
Conflicting headlines out of the UK:British retail consortium August total sales +4.1% y/y vs July +1.5% British retail consortium August like-for-like sales +4.3% y/y vs July +1.8% Barclay UK August consumer spending +2.8% y/y vs July +4.0% the bank blamed on a...
South Korean August CPI has risen at its fastest m/m rate since January 2017
Inflation data from South Korea for August 2023:+1% m/m (expected +0.3%)+3.4% y/y (expected +2.7%)August core CPI +3.3% y/y (was 3.3% in July)These results raise the question, again, if the biggest drops in inflation, across the globe not just in SK, have been seen...
ANZ is targeting 150 on USD/JPY, but is wary of verbal yen intervention
Following up on this from last week:More:ANZ ... targeting a move toward 150. The bank believes that this trajectory will hold unless there's a substantial shift in the rate outlook for either the U.S. or Japan. While intervention from policymakers could pose a risk,...
ICYMI – ECB’s Nagel says the Bank’s mandate is price stability, not to make banks happy
Joachim Nagel is president of the Deutsche Bundesbank and thus a key member of the European Central Bank Governing Council. He spoke on Monday in Frankfurt, but didn't have much to say on monetary policy. He did say that inflation is still much too high — and that’s...
Turn the machines back on! Globex is open.
US equity index futures are open for trade on Globex, along with other contracts too of course, interest rates and what have you. The CME shut down Globex for a few hours for the US Labor Day holiday. Cash markets were completely closed for the day. These reopen...
Bank of Canada preview – “Canadian growth shocker confirms … pause” – CAD forecast
The Bank of Canada meet on Wednesday, 6 September 2023. The decision is due at 1400 GMT, which is 10 am Eastern time. The consensus is for the Bank of Canada to hold its key interest rate steady at 5.00%.Preview comments from ING (this in brief from a longer...
Heads up for more work stoppages at Australian LNG projects
Headlines via Reuters on further disruptions ahead: Australia union: serves further notice of protected industrial action at Chevron's Gorgon and Wheatstone LNG projects in AustraliaAustralia union: new protected industrial action notice will escalate work bans, will...
Preview: Reserve Bank of Australia widely expected to leave its cash rate unchanged today
The Reserve Bank of Australia September meeting is coming up on Tuesday September 5. The statement will be published at 2.30pm local time in Sydney, which is 0430 GMT and 2230 US Eastern time on Monday, 4 September 2023.Preview comments via TD:We expect the RBA to...
Goldman Sachs – more aggressive OPEC+ price target is a risk to its Brent oil $93 forecast
Goldman Sachs have a USD93 / barrel as a 12-month forecast Goldman Sachs still sees a potentially more aggressive OPECc+ price target as key moderately bullish risk to this forecastGS says "We no longer expect a Saudi announcement this week of a partial October unwind...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: No drama on Labor Day
Markets:WTI crude up 43-cents to $85.98GBP leads, USD lagsUS/Canada bonds and equities closedThere wasn't much to report in terms of price action in North American trading. The holidays in the US and Canada kept a lid on the market and there wasn't any news to jar...
Economic calendar in Asia – Tuesday, 5 September 2023 – RBA interest rate decision
The RBA statement headlines the data agenda for the Asian session. Earlier:The earliest indications for August inflation in Australia won't trouble the RBA too much, but they won't shrug them off either: This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access...
Trade ideas thread – Tuesday, 5 September 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Biden sounds surprisingly optimistic on autoworker strike
US President Joe Biden is in Philadelphia today for a Labor Day speech and sounded surprisingly optimistic about an autoworkers deal.“I’m not worried about a strike. I don’t think it’s going to happen,” Biden told reporters.UAW members voted to authorize a strike last...