Markets:Gold down $8 to $1866WTI crude oil down $1.96 to $91.72US 10-year yields down 4.9 bps to 4.58%S&P 500 up 0.6%AUD leads, USD lagsThursday was a reversal of the recent price action in markets but there wasn't a particular catalyst. To be sure, the consumer...
Bill Ackman says inflation will be persistently high, 10 & 30 year USTs can hit 5%
Ackman has been on fire with his views of steadily rising rates.From last week:From months ago:Ackman is being interviewed on CNBC: Says shutdown will lead to data shutdown, it will be a dark periodInflation will be persistently high30 year treasury can reach 5%Says...
Governance-challenged US lurches to shutdown. But Senate agrees to wear long pants. Really
If you are interested in knowing what those governing the US are focused on at present, as the country lurches towards another shutdown debacle, the US Senate passed a resolution Wednesday: the resolution requires that business attire be worn on the floor of the...
NASDAQ and S&P close higher for the 2nd consecutive day
The NASDAQ and S&P closed higher for the 2nd consecutive day. Admittedly the S&P index only rose marginally (0.02%) yesterday, but it still was a victory in the win column. Today, the gain was a little more respectable at 0.59%.The final numbers for the major...
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Biden administration 5-year off shore oil plan does not include any lease sales for 2024
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
No comments on monetary policy in Powell’s initial remarks
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Federal Reserve Chair Powell doesn’t comment on outlook for economy nor monetary policy
Federal Reserve Chair Powell speech - nothing for traders in it re his outlook for the economy or monetary policy.A Q&A will follow - stay tuned!Powell heat (AI image)Powell's event has him giving opening remarks before he then participates in a moderated...
Economic calendar in Asia Friday, 29 September 2023, Japan (Tokyo) inflation data
China begins its long holiday today - there will be no CNY reference rate setting today nor all of next week. There is PMI data due over the weekend though:As for today, CPI data from Tokyo. This is regarded as a leading indicator of nationwide inflation but its not a...
Trade ideas thread – Friday, 29 September 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Want to learn a little about “leaning” in your trading? In this video, I break it down.
"Leaning" is a term I like to use to describe technical levels defined by consolidated price action in an area, moving averages, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement. The reason why traders like those levels is because they can define risk and limit risk against those...
Fed’s Barkin: Lost data due to government shutdown would complicate understanding econ
It will be hard to figure out in the economy without dataCredit card data is a good alternative data setI try to talk to businesses and workers what's happening in the economyGrowth still seems 'solid' in the economyIt makes sense that lower and middle-income spending...
Is that the neckline of a head and shoulders being broken? It looks that way.
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Fed chairman Jerome Powell set to speak at 4 pm ET in moderated discussion
Powell (AI image)At 4 pm ET (2000 GMT), Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver opening remakrs and then participate in a moderated discussion. The topic is "Conversation with the Chair: A Teacher Town Hall Meeting".Given the scene, I wouldn't expect a...
Eyes on the product markets as oil retraces much of yesterday’s gains
Daily WTI chartOil backed off today with WTI crude settling $1.99 lower at $91.67.TD today touched on the big question in the oil market, presuming that OPEC+ will continue to tighten the screws: When does demand destruction happen. Much of the debate around that is...
EURUSD could not extend above the 100 hour MA and the price rotates back lower.
EURUSD stalls at the 100 hour MA. Sellers push lower.The EURUSD moved higher into the late US morning and in the process approached the falling 100-hour moving average (blue line), and the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the September 20 high (at 1.05823). See...
Credit Agricole: The impending break of USD/JPY’s 150 level possible intervention
USDJPY dailyCredit Agricole discusses the heightened possibility of Japan intervening in the FX markets, especially if the USD/JPY rate breaches the critical 150 mark.Key Points:Verbal Warnings:Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) has frequently signaled the potential...
Investor sentiment turns bearish
The AAII Sentiment Survey is underrated by market participants. If we go back almost exactly a year to when tech stocks bottomed, it was screaming to buy as sentiment was at its worst ever levels by some metrics. We're nowhere near that yet with just 40.9% investors...
USDCHF corrects lower after September run higher. Pair tests 100 hour MA
> Technical Analysis > USDCHF corrects lower after September run higher. Pair tests 100 hour MA Technical Analysis The USDCHF has been a bullish run in the month of September <!--> --> <!--> --> ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE READING BELOW...
US sells 7-year notes at 4.673% vs 4.670% WI
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...