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JP Morgan says rising oil prices could lead to demand destruction – headwind for stocks

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JP Morgan analysts on slower inflation – say that firms that benefited from the inflationary spike in the past two years may lose the power to charge higher prices for their goods and services, which is a headwind for their stocks and the equity markets in the remainder of 2023.

However, the analysts argue that rising energy inflation is likely to have the same impact:

  • rising oil prices could lead to demand destruction, another headwind for corporates’ pricing power

More on the oil price from the note:

  • only around 25% of the rise in the oil price is demand-driven
  • the larger portion of the spike is supply cutbacks by OPEC+
  • says that if oil sustains the rally companies might not be able to pass on rising input costs as easily as they did in the past two years, hitting margins

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