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More Goolsbee:If the Fed sees lack of progress on the price side, it will have to tighten

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More from Fed’s Goolsbee is on the wires saying:

  • If Fed sees lack of progress on the price side, it will have to raise restraint.
  • Trying not to put much weight on conventional measures of overheating
  • Have not decided what to do at the next meeting
  • Recent inflation was mostly supply though there was a demand component
  • The Fed will have a legitimate debate about how the current framework worked in this period of inflation
  • Inflation targets do risk giving a false sense of precision around a variable that is noisy
  • It will matter a lot how long auto strike lasts in terms of its GDP impact
  • Auto strikes have not had a historical large impact on inflation. However current capacity and inventory situation is different
  • Fed is trying to get a handle on whether an extended strike might lead to different price outcomes

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