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US equites – BlackRock says there is too much optimism about corporate earnings

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BlackRock Investment Institute with the cautionary heads up:

  • “About half of expected earnings growth is tied to mega caps … according to LSEG data, where the artificial intelligence (AI) mega force is well represented. Backing those out … expectations for broad equities are muted and overly optimistic, in our view,”
  • “Broad equities have started to adjust to the new regime of greater volatility, but don’t fully reflect the macro damage we expect,”

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